So--just sorry, keep score, right now we've got 3 basic theories of personal identity on the table.

不好意思，我们继续,现在我们面前有3个,关于人格同一性的理论。

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If I shoot to the left and the goalie dived to the right, then I score 90% of the time, so my payoff is .9.

如果我从左路射门而门将扑向右路,那我有90%的概率进球,即我的收益就是9

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So if I shoot to the right and the goalie dives to the left, then I score with probability point 9 or my payoff is 9.

如果我从右路射门而门将扑向左路,我进球的概率是90%,即收益是9

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Conversely, if I shoot to the right and he or she dives to the right, then I score 40% of the time, so here's my payoff 4.

相反如果我从右路射门而门将扑向右路,我进球的概率是40%,收益是4

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

If I shoot to the left and there's no probability of the goalie diving to the right, which means that they dive to the left, then my payoff is 4, meaning I score 40% of the time.

如果我从左路射门,而门将不会去扑向右路,也就是说他会扑向左路,此时我的收益是4,也就是说我进球的概率是40%

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So things are not... I haven't given you the numbers for the middle but... So you can see that whoever it was who said, you're slightly better off, you score with slightly higher probabilities when you kick to your natural side is exactly right.

所以事情不像是……,我虽然没有给出中路的概率,但是,我们先不管这些数字到底是谁总结的,我们发现我们走运了,当你从自然方向攻门的时候,你进球的概率会稍微提高

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