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"I started thinking about where else can I get some kind of reasonable rate of return where return can actually be defined more fully than just how much money did I make."
VOA: special.2011.01.14
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So, at any rate, this seemed to me to be, when I started teaching this course, reasons not to teach it.
因此无论如何对我来说，当我开始教这门课的时候决定不说它的原因。
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I'm oversimplifying a little bit but between wars the rate tends to come down because people think, well the war is over.
我说得有点过于笼统了,但在战争期间，税率走势却有所下降,因为人们都觉得战争结束了。
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Scientific research is progressing at such an alarming rate I think it's impossible to know what ten years from now will hold."
VOA: standard.2010.06.09
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I remember when interest rate swap accounting was done on a different market security basis.
我记得利率会换记账法,在不同的证券市场施行时。
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But if there is another argument for that claim, I'm eager to hear it, because this argument, at any rate, seems to me to be unsuccessful.
但如果确实有这种论点存在，我迫不及待地想听一听，因为这个论点无论怎么看，似乎都不会说得通。
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I can give you the form and ask you to rate how attractive you think I am and I can give you the same instruction with a crucial difference "Please wait here.
我给你们这张表格,对我的魅力指数打分,同样的指示，但有一点重要的差别,我对你们说“请在这儿稍等片刻。
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The interest rate has units of time, so I have to specify a time period over which I'm measuring an interest rate.
不同时间段有不同的利率,因此我必须在不同的时间段,细化不同的利率
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I asked my graduate student research assistant to research the whole literature and find out where did the word forward rate come from.
我让我的助研去查找,所有相关文献,试图找到,谁最先提出了远期利率的概念
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You can see various--this is the growth rate of home prices actually I should update this.
你能看到各种...这是房价增长率,这些数据现在需要更新
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When you ask for the investment rate, you want to know the truth-- how much am I really getting so they don't monkey around here.
当你问投资收益率时,你要知道,我到底能赚多少,所以他们不再偷懒
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I've got the Federal Funds Rate--it's the shortest interest rate, an overnight rate--it was at 4% at that time and then there was a sharp drop.
这是联邦基金利率,是最短期的利率,当时的隔夜拆借利率是4%,接下来利率急速下跌
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In the early post-war period, the corporate--now I'm going to talk-- there's a distinction between the rate that they charge and the actual amount that they take.
在战后初期,公司的...我要说明的是,政府规定的税率,与实际征收的税率之间存在着差异
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I'm talking about four-week Treasury bills; 2.25% the Federal Funds Rate is still at 2.25% but at least the more prominent three-month T-bill rate is at the end.
我在谈论月国库券；,联邦基金利率仍在%,但是至少显著地,季度国库券利率还在最低端。
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So, what we want to do-- this is what Hicks discovered I can do the following transaction to lock in, in 1925, the interest rate between 1926 and 1927.
这就是希克斯所发现的,我可以在1925年进行以下交易,从而确定1926年到1927年的利率
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I can lock in the interest rate right now.
我现在就可以把利率定下来
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John? -You know I'm not gonna forecast ... either of those right now. -You are not gonna... I have the Taylor rule on the line with respect to the Federal fund's rate.
约翰呢？，-我现在不会,对这个做任何预测，-你不打算。,网上有泰勒规则啊,根据它能算出联邦基金利率。
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That's all I have to do and I have locked in the interest rate.
以上是我为了确定利率而进行的操作
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I showed you a one-year Treasury bill rate for right now-- that's not right now, but you can see I have a one-year and a two-year Treasury bill rate.
一年期国债利率的期限结构图,现在没有了,但你们看过了,一年期和两年期的国债利率
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I will get to this later, where I have the return minus the interest rate on this axis and the market return minus the interest rate on this axis.
迟一些我会讲到,就是用这个轴表示收益减去利率,这个轴表示市场收益率减去利率
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Forward rates I wrote a survey article years ago about the term structure of interest rates and I wanted to find out who was the originator of the term "forward rate."
远期利率,很多年前我写过一篇,研究利率期限结构的文章,我想知道谁是"远期利率"这个词的创始人
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At any rate, I don't know for certainty that I'm a harder grader, but I believe that it's the case based on reactions I get when I give the speech that I'm about to give.
不管怎么，虽然不是特确定我评分严格，但相信应该就是这样,根据我每次说这些话时得到的反应来说。
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And it is almost like being in love except what it really is is two shots of caffeinated espresso causing a rapid heart rate an increase in respiration, sweaty palms, but I don't realize--she doesn't realize that's what it is.
跟恋爱一样的感觉,其实什么都不是,而是双倍浓度的咖啡因,导致心跳加速,呼吸急促，掌心冒汗，但我没意识到--她没意识到那是什么。
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What Hicks said is that in these term structures, actually, I've just showed the one-period, he had one-period forward rate-- but you could do it over any combination and you can get forward rates of any maturity at any future date.
希克斯指出利率期限结构中,我刚才给你们演示了,希克斯是如何推导一年期远期利率的,但是你们通过其他组合重新推导,还算出未来任意时刻,期限的远期利率
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but I think it's motivational, and so I said, are you sure that J.R. Hicks invented the term "forward rate"?
但我觉得这很有趣,我问他,你能肯定,J·R·希克斯是"远期利率"的提出者吗
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What we do is we take the interest rate, which I'll call r, and plug it into a formula, which I didn't actually do the arithmetic to their number.
我们只需将利率r,代入等式中,虽然我没有代入数字验证过...
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Home prices are falling at the highest rate we've ever seen. I have my own index s Case-Shiller indexes the Standard & Poor's Case-Shiller indexes and we announced our indexes yesterday.
房价正在以我们从未见过的速度下跌,我有自己的一个指数,名字叫The，Standard&Poor’,而且昨天我们公布了我们的指数。
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I would take my income this year, invest it at the interest rate, and it would turn into Y today times and then I get income next year; so I could consume all that.
可以将今年收入,以利率水平投资,Y天后这份收入就会变成1+R倍,在获得明年的收入后,这些可以一起花掉
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