"Even if their eyes start to feel uncomfortable or they start to get a headache, they're less likely to tell their parents, because they don't want to have the game or the computer or whatever taken away."
VOA: special.2011.08.01
It's not a particularly interesting game, but while we're here, why don't we just discuss it for a second.
这不是一次特别有趣的博弈,既然说到这里了,不妨多讨论一点
But I really don't keep track of the names. I just like the game.
但我不记得篮球队员的名字,我只喜欢看比赛。
"I don't look at this moment as the defining end to my relationship with the game of basketball,".
VOA: standard.2009.12.24
We'll discuss this in a second, but why don't we actually record what the game is, that we're playing first.
一会再开始分析,我们先记录一下这个游戏的内容
You played the game; I don't know if there's a videogame now, if people play games like this where London Bridge is Falling Down.
你们也玩过这个游戏吧,我不知道现在是不是有电子游戏了,如果有人玩过伦敦桥这个游戏
This is a little game--and again, don't be overwhelmed by the complexity.
这是一个小游戏,不要被它的复杂性搞晕。
So, there would have been a certain amount of just furious killing going on, but I don't think that would have been the way you planned the game.
有些人会因此死于,疯狂的杀戮,但我认为,这并不是战争想要达成的结果
This is incredibly important because,when you look at this number that we started out with,saying the benchmark was 9.9 but net of fees the managers on average only lost thirty basis points--or .3% -you'd say,well that's a game I don't mind playing.
这极其重要,因为当你看这些数字时,刚才说过基准收益是9.9%,但是主动管理型基金经理人的平均净利润,只落后了30个基点或者说0.3%,你可能会说这个游戏,我不介意玩一玩
They don't know--They think that they're teaching somebody in a memory game but actually the person who is being shocked is a confederate who is trained to react in certain ways as he's being increasingly shocked.
他们不知道…他们以为,他们是在用记忆游戏来教被电击者,但其实被电击者早就和设计实验的人串通好,当电击者电击的次多增多时,他就会装成相应的样子。
Is the reason people behave badly-- I don't know "Badly"--people choose Alpha in this game here, is it the fact that they can't communicate?
人们之所以取得糟糕的结果,我不敢说结果是不是真的不好,但人们选α是因为不能交流吗
And I don't think Game Theory is going to contribute to anything to understanding about leadership.
我也不认为博弈论能够帮助大家,加深对领导力的理解
So those of you who haven't, don't worry, I mean this will be a bit review, but we'll see it more through the eyes of Game Theory this time, and for those of you who haven't, don't worry we're going to go through it.
如果你没学过,也不必担心,我们一起来快速回顾一下吧,但这次我们用博弈论的角度去分析,那些之前没有学过的同学,别担心,现在我们一起来看一遍
They have a bias. If you ask them, what's the probability that Yale will win the Yale-Harvard game, don't expect Yale students or Harvard students to give an unbiased probability.
人们有偏向性,如果你问他们,耶鲁与哈佛的比赛中耶鲁胜出的几率有多大,不要指望耶鲁或哈佛的学生会给出,一个公正的答案
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