For example, I could believe that it's twice as likely that the person's going to choose Left as Right.
比方说,我可能认为对手选左的可能性,是选右的可能性的2倍
But since I don't believe in souls, I want to choose between the body view and the personality view.
但因为我不相信灵魂,我想从身体理论和人格理论中选择。
So what's my expected payoff from choosing Up where I believe the other person's going to choose Left and Right, equally likely? It's what?
那么在我对手选择左或右,可能性相同的情况下,我的预期收益会是什么样的呢
Plato seems to believe that each of us must choose somehow, must choose between one or the other of these two contenders for the most serious and worthwhile way of life.
柏拉图似乎相信,我们每个人都应选择,必需在这两种竞争概念中,做出选择,以求得严谨及值得过的人生。
I believe the other guy is going to choose Left, I can rationalize choosing Up.
我认为对手应该会选左,这样我认为选上是合理的
There's a more general lesson here, and the more general lesson is, of course: do not choose a strategy that is never a best response to anything you could believe.
从中可以总结出一个更普遍的规律,这个普遍规律就是,不要选择一个在任何情况下,都不是最佳对策的策略
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