Today's lecture is about portfolio diversification and about supporting financial institutions, notably mutual funds.
今天这堂课的内容是投资组合多样化,以及辅助性金融机构,特别是共同基金。
Finally, I just want to say, next lecture is January twenty-eighth and we're going to talk about portfolio diversification, which is one very important application of the fundamental principle of risk management, as applied to securities.
最后,我想说下一讲是在1月28日,到时我们会谈谈资产组合多样化,这是风险管理基本原则中,对证券投资来说,这是非常重要的一项应用。
I wrote my first book--I already talked about that, Pioneering Portfolio Management--that deals with the challenges that face institutional investors.
我写的第一本书,我已经提到过了,《机构投资的创新之路》,讨论了机构投资者所面临的挑战
Suppose you could find 10,000 independent assets, then you could drive the uncertainty about the portfolio practically to 0.
假设你能找到一万项相互独立的资产,那么你就可以将这个投资组合的风险,降到几乎为零。
There's no correlation between them ... and that means that the variance-- and I want to talk about equally-weighted portfolio.
它们之间没有相关性,也就是说。。。方差-,我想讲一下,权重相等的投资组合。
Now, I want to talk about forming a portfolio where the assets are not independent of each other, but are correlated with each other.
现在我要建立这样的一个投资组合,在这个组合里各项资产并不是相互独立的,而是相互关联的。
With non-participating--with participating, you are participating in the portfolio outcome that the insurance company is experiencing, so you have some uncertainty about your cash value.
所谓参与式分红保险,是指你的收益来自某个投资组合收益,而这个投资组合是由保险公司来管理的,所以保单的现金价值是不确定的
The first and fundamental principle is: you care only about the total portfolio.
第一条也是最基本的一条原则是:,你要关注的是整个投资组合。
Anybody whose read a basic finance text, as a matter of fact, I think anybody who thinks about investments in a common sense fashion knows that diversification is an important fundamental tenet of portfolio management.
事实上,任何一个读过金融基础教材的人,任何一个,以正常思维来考虑投资问题的人,都知道分散投资是投资管理的,一条重要的基本原则
The way you would go about it, if you're a portfolio manager, is you have to come up with estimates of the inputs to these formulas-- that means the expected returns, the standard deviations, and the covariances.
你所要做的,如果你是一个资产经理,你要做的事情就是,对公式里面的一些参数进行估计-,那些参数包括预期收益,标准差,和协方差。
That's not a way that we really think about it, but I do believe that the risk level of the University's portfolio is really quite low in statistical terms -much lower than the risk level that you'd have if you had a traditional portfolio dominated by marketable securities.
这一般不是我们考虑的关键,但我相信,耶鲁投资组合的风险水平,在统计数字上是非常低的,远远低于,持有一个传统的可交易证券主导的,投资组合的beta系数
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