It's a very appealing kind of a priori theory, but the thing about theories is they're supposed to make predictions.
这是一个很有吸引力的早期理论,但是理论的意义在于,它们可以被用来进行预测。
And then we try and get our simulation to match the past, and hope that that will help it predict the future.
尝试让仿真程序能和这一部分实际数据相符,并且希望它能够帮我们对未来进行预测。
It just turns out to be wrong but another way-- And so one way to attack and address a scientific theory is to view it as just to see whether or not it works.
但最终被证明是错误的-,评判一个理论,是否属于科学理论的另一种情况,就是看它是否成功的进行了预测。
And we can just extrapolate in a straight line We before saw some examples where I had an algorithm to generate points, and we fit a curve to it, used the curve to predict future points and discovered it was nowhere close.
我们可以干脆用一条直线来描述它,我们之前看到在一些例子中,我用一个算法去生成一些点,然后用一条曲线对它进行拟合,然后用这条曲线来预测未来的点,最后却发现结果完全不对。
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