Certain kinds of financial markets called "Prediction markets," which may, for example, predict the outcome of an election have been seen to be very accurate predictors, often better than pollsters can manage.

人们称这种金融市场为,"可预测的市场",举个例子来说,市场对某次大选结果的反应,比民调专家,还要更加准确

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选