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Because we've just sat in lecture and you've told us we're not being rational if we pick a high number.
因为我们刚刚上过课,你告诉我们选大数的人是不理性的
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I think that's mainly because Hollywood only ever chooses people with a very posh English accent.
我想，主要因为好莱坞只选那些有高傲的英式口音的人。
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I guarantee, more than that In fact, the people who chose where we started off 33 chose in that range.
我保证,多很多的,实际上选33的人是在这个范围内选择的
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In fact,if you wanted to argue against, say,the Letter of Hebrews being included,you could say, "But all the people in the East don't accept the Letter of Hebrews as part of their canon,so we shouldn't,either."
实际上，如果你想反对，希伯来书被选上，你可以说，“但是东方的人都不承认希伯来书,属于他们的正典，所以我们也不应承认“
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But it turns out actually over a third of people who took this class last year took the class because they felt depressed.
但是结果是去年有超过三分之一的人,选这门课是因为他们感觉抑郁。
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So I would choose something that have a wave lines off You wouldn't measure the dimension of a human hair with a yardstick, so I need something on this order.
所以我会选些东西,你将不会用一个码尺去量,人的头发有多大，所以我需要一些这个级数上的东西。
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Did anyone take this course because they love On the Road?
有没有人是因为喜欢这部小说才选这门课的？
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I pride myself on the fact that people who have taken this course find it useful in their subsequent lives, but on the other hand, I think that it's really interesting.
我很骄傲的说,选了这门课的人,会在以后的生活中用到这些知识,而另一方面,我觉着这是门有趣的课
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The Athenians and the Romans," he says, "were free, that is they were free commonwealths, not that any particular man had the liberty to resist his own representative but that his representative had the liberty to resist or invade other people."
霍布斯说，希腊人和罗马人都是自由的，因为他们身在自由的共和国里，他们单独的个体,是没有自由反抗他所选的代表的,但他所选的代表,却有抵抗或是入侵他人的自由“
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So I think I can safely say that most people had the right idea and were counting quickly, 3 though I have a feeling that some people who wrote 13 might have forgotten about those 4 f, the 4 f electrons.
我认为我可以放心地说,大部分人的想法都是对的,数得也很快，只是我感觉不少选，13，的人都是因为3,忘了，4，f，4，f，电子。
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At Johns Hopkins, 50/50, for A and B.
而在约翰霍普金斯大学,选A和B的人各占一半
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If they were to choose people from Manchester,
如果他们要选来自曼彻斯特的人，
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The following people chose 9, that's not right, where are the people who chose 9?
以下同学选了9,不是这页,选9的人的名单在哪
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0%: the person at 2 is going to get all the ones at 1, and all the ones at 2; and 3 will get everything else.
0%的选票,选立场2的人会得到,立场1和2的全部选票,选立场3的候选人会得到剩下的选票
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Nevertheless, at least 90% of you chose Alpha here, and that's the right answer.
然而90%以上的人都选了α,选α是正确的答案
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okay I chose Middle because I believed that the other guy was going to choose Right and Middle was the best thing for me to do against Right."
我选中是因为,我认为另一个人会选右,并且选中是右的最佳策略
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the winner is the person whose number is closest to 2/3 times the average The winner will win $5 minus the difference in pennies between her choice and that two-thirds of the average."
所选数字最接近2/3倍平均数人是赢家,赢家的奖金是5美元减去,所选数和平均数三分之二之差的百分数
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Because I thought everyone was going to be around like the 45 range because 66 is two-thirds, or right around of 100, and they were going to go two-thirds less than that and I did one less than that one.
因为我想每个人都会选45左右的数,因为66约等于一百的2/3,而大家会选比那小的,我就选了更小的数
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Did you know that of people who take positive psychology, 75% of you are officers of club, 35% of you are the highest ranking officers of club, which means that you think there are about 2000 clubs at Harvard, you are in club of three, and you happen to be the president.
你不知不知道选了积极心理学的人中，有75%的人是俱乐部的干部，35%是俱乐部的高层干部，这意味着，你认为哈佛有大约2000个俱乐部，你在一个只有3个人的俱乐部里，又恰好是主席。
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Good, so even if everyone in the number-- everyone in the room didn't choose randomly but they all chose a 100, a very unlikely circumstance, but even if everyone had chosen 100, the highest, the average, sorry, the highest two-thirds of the average could possibly be is 66 2/3, hence 67 would be a pretty good choice in that case.
好的,如果每个人,教室里的每个人不是随机选择数字,而是全选了100,这好像不太可能,但如果每个人真的都选了100,就是最大的书,那平均数,抱歉,平均数的2/3会是66又2/3,此情况下67应该是个不错的选项
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Such a person might pick a point up here and that would be a portfolio with--a leveraged portfolio.
那样的人可能会在这里选一个点来投资,那就是一个有。。。这是个杠杆投资组合。
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So numbers bigger than 67 seem pretty crazy choices, but crazy isn't the word I'm looking for here.
那些选大于67数的人看起来挺傻的了,但他们傻不傻不是我们要关心的问题
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So the one person who didn't we'll let him off for today.
没选α的人以后要注意了啊
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How many of you, excluding the people who chose 1 last time, how many of you chose a number that was lower than the number you chose last time?
出了上次选1的人,多少人选了比你,上次选择的数还低的数字
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I finally backed down because I met a man on Wall Street, a very prominent Wall Street person, and he said, "You know, my son started to take your course."
我最终还是让步了,我遇到一个在华尔街工作的人,一个非常杰出的华尔街人士,他说,我儿子原本选了你的课
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What can we say about those choices, those strategies 67 and above, bigger than 67, 68 and above?
那些选择大于67的数的同学,如选68及以上的人怎么来评价呢
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I've got each person's name and I've got a number from each person: a strategy from each person.
我有你们每个人的名字和所选数字,即每个人的策略
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Say it again: if everyone chose 1, then everyone's best response would be to choose 1, so that would be a Nash Equilibrium.
重复一下,如果每个人都选了1,那么每个人的最佳对策也就是1,这就会成为纳什均衡
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