Now we're going to analyze this, no secret here, we're going to analyze this using the idea of best response.
毫无疑问,接下来,我们要用最佳对策的思想来分析了
he knows how to mathematically structure the problem,
他知道如何用数学思维分析问题的结构,
And, in fact there's a technique of analysis used today that's called Rutherford back scattering where people actually saw that this is a means of identifying the substance, the sample.
事实上这是现在用的一种分析技术,称作卢瑟福背散射,就是人们实际上看到的那样,这是鉴别物质样品的一种方法。
I mean one way to describe this in a non-technical, non-Freudian way is, there are certain things about ourselves we'd rather not know.
用并不专业的非精神分析的话语来表述,就是我们并不想知道某些事情的存在。
And what we're going to do today is analyze this game under both those possible payoffs.
接下来我们分别用不同收益,来分析一下这个博弈
I think that this sort of analysis shouldn't be applied to issues of human life.
我觉得这种分析,不应该用在人的生命这个问题上。
We could interrogate the author psychoanalytically.
我们可以用心理分析的方法询问作者。
Are there things that the existence of a soul could explain and explain better than the explanation that we would have if we had to limit ourselves to bodies?
是否有某种现象,使得用灵魂存在的假设,能比局限于肉体本身的分析,解释得更好呢
Let's get that systematically by using free-body diagrams.
让我们系统地用隔离法来分析一下
Then also you'll be asked to do identifying information if you print it out from the program itself, but if you go up to your web browser print option and print from that particular thing then you can do it and no identifying information will be necessary.
如果你想直接从网上打印分析结果,就得提供个人信息,但是,如果你用浏览器中的打印选项,只打印营养分析结果,你就可以打印文件而无需提交个人信息
I don't find that my analysis is profound in the final answer, I just took some estimates using my data and, again, we could-- if someone wanted to argue with us they could argue with my estimates of the expected returns of the standard deviations and the covariances, but not with this theory.
我在计算过程中并没有做太深入的分析,我只是用我的数据做了一下大概的估计,我再说一次,我们可以-,如果有人想就这个问题与我们争辩,他们可以争论我对期望收益的估计,或是争论标准差和协方差的估计值,但并不会针对理论本身。
I am going to solve it graphically and I am going to solve it analytically.
我将采用图解法,然后我将用分析法解决它。
let's try and analyze this game using the tools we've learned so far.
我们先用已经学过的知识,来分析这个博弈
Now, you know, when we've got our deterministic hats on, we think to ourselves, "There's got to be some underlying causal explanation, some feature about the break-down atoms that explains why they broke down and that was missing from the non-break-down atoms that explains why they don't break down.
现在,你知道,当我们用决定论的观点去分析这个问题时,我们自己寻思着,这背后一定有某种具有,因果关系的解释,某种关于分裂原子的特性,能解释为什么它们分裂了,而由于这种特性不存在于未分裂的原子,因而解释了它们为什么不能分裂
And you remember, we considered some examples of cost-benefit analysis, but a lot of people were unhappy with cost-benefit analysis when it came to placing dollar value on human life.
我们还思考了些成本效益分析的例子,但许多人并不赞同,成本效益分析用金钱来衡量人的生命。
We're going to use this idea of best response.
我们会用最佳对策来分析
So I introduced Hirsch in that context, and now I want to go back to him a little bit and I want to work with two passages which I have sent you all in e-mail-form and which I have neglected to put on the board, but they're so short I don't think that will be necessary.
我在刚才那个问题中提到了赫施,现在我想再次讲一讲他,并分析下我用邮件发给你们的那两段话,我忘记把它们放到黑板上了,但它们很短,我想那样也没有必要。
So those of you who haven't, don't worry, I mean this will be a bit review, but we'll see it more through the eyes of Game Theory this time, and for those of you who haven't, don't worry we're going to go through it.
如果你没学过,也不必担心,我们一起来快速回顾一下吧,但这次我们用博弈论的角度去分析,那些之前没有学过的同学,别担心,现在我们一起来看一遍
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