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Now if you can just persuade the English and Portsmouth soccer players of this lesson, I'd be very happy.
现在如果你能让英格兰或者朴茨茅斯球员,学会这个规律的话,我会非常高兴的
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like he was the hardest... that I was the hardest worker he had seen in sports in like 10 years.
他是训练最刻苦的……我是他这十年来见过的训练最刻苦的球员。
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So this weekend a penalty was missed exactly by somebody ignoring this rule.
这周末的点球未射进,绝对是因为罚球球员不懂这个规律
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Yeah, he's a good player. But a few years ago, one of the reasons that United bought that player,
他是个很好的球员。但是几年前，联队买他的原因之一，
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And they have a very famous Finnish player on that team.
他们队有一个很有名的芬兰球员。
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from an amateur side of part-time players.
那个球队是由兼职球员组成的业余选手。
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yeah, I was probably above average player.
是的，我可能要比一般的球员厉害。
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So I'm not a very good player.
所以我并不是个很优秀的球员。
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That's tiny in the NBA now.
当然不能和现在NBA的球员比了
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Portsmouth had a penalty and the guy who was going to take the penalty came up to kick the penalty and he kicked it to the middle and it was saved.
朴茨茅斯获得一个点球,主罚点球的球员站在球门前,一脚把球射向中路,门将扑救成功
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And here's my green line representing my expected payoff as the shooter, from shooting to the right, as a function of the probability that the goalie dives to the right.
这条绿线表示作为一个罚球球员,我从右路射门的收益,是门将扑向右路概率的一个函数
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My favourite player at the moment is a Chilean player called Hernandez. Yeah, you know Hernandez?
我现在最喜欢的球员是一个智利的球员叫做埃尔南德斯。是的，你知道埃尔南德斯吗？
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He's a very good player, yeah, but for the first two or three years that he was at United, he hardly played at all.
他是个很好的球员，但是在前两三年，在联队，他基本不上场。
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So right footed players find it easier to shoot to the left as facing, to shoot across the goal.
习惯用右脚射门的球员从左路进攻,会更容易把球射入球门
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It wasn't a coincidence they bought somebody from Asia.
他们买亚洲的球员不是偶然的。
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So it's as if that decision is made instantaneously as the shooter is running up.
这就好像所有决定都在,罚球球员起跑的一瞬间完成的
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Players don't make their decision before, and then stick with it necessarily.
罚球球员事先没有做好决定,而是见机行事
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All right, so players are making decisions as they're running up.
没错,球员在罚点球之前没有主意
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The fact they've got an Asian player playing in the team,
有一个亚洲球员在他们的队里打球，
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Good, so one thing that's clearly missing here is I'm ignoring that in fact right footed players find it easier to shoot to their left, which is actually the goalie's right.
很好,我们忽略了这一点,我们忽视了实际上惯用右脚的球员,从左路射门会更容易些,罚球球员的左路就是门将的右路
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Let's just look at the shooter, for example.
我们先来看看罚球球员
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And my favourite United player of all time is Eric Cantona,
我一直最喜欢的联队球员是埃里克•坎通纳，
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