• It's exactly this theory, but he doesn't have the word probability, which hadn't been invented yet.

    这就是我们在讲的理论,但他并没有用概率这个,因为当时还没有发明这个

    耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

  • It's interesting that this person uses the word calculation; this person has the idea--this was-- 1600 was around the year when probability theory was invented.

    有意思的是,这个人用了"计算"这个,这个人想到了这个主意,概率论正是1600年左右产生的

    耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

  • Hacking points out that the word probability--or probable-- was already in the English language.

    哈金指出概率这个,或者说可能,已经存在于英语中

    耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

  • So, he's using intuitive-- he says difficult or easy-- so he says it's difficult, meaning the probability is very low, or easy, meaning that probability is high.

    所以他直接进行了描述,他用的是困难和简单两,他说的困难,意思就是概率很小,他说的简单,意思就是概率很大

    耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

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