The final sin I want to talk about is probably the most common, and it's called the Texas sharpshooter fallacy.

我想讲的最后的一个谬误,可能是最常见的，它叫做德克萨斯神枪手谬误。

麻省理工公开课 - 计算机科学及编程导论课程节选

I think one of the mistakes that I think you can make in a company is to build really close friendships.

我想在公司中人们可能会犯的一个错误是,建立非常亲密的友情。

斯坦福公开课 - 戴尔CEO-Michael.Dell谈创业和发展课程节选

I mean buy could actually be a negative indicator that this is probably not of interest to the user.

我的意思是购物可能是一个负面暗示,暗示用户对这些不是很有兴趣。

哈佛公开课 - 计算机科学课程节选

I will then judge and then the winner will win some small prize, either of a literary or a food nature.

我来评谁胜出,胜出者有一个小奖品，可能是书，也可能是吃的。

耶鲁公开课 - 心理学导论课程节选

So he said, I guess maybe it is my idea I was the first person to write it up.

我斗胆以为这也许是我的想法,有可能真是我第一个将其记录

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

Well,I suppose another possibility is to say, at least another possibility worth mentioning, is to say they're both Napoleon.

我想另一个可能性会是，至少这种可能性值得一提，那就是他们两个都是拿破仑。

耶鲁公开课 - 死亡课程节选

The payoffs are lower, Okay. So here's an abbreviated version of that, I mean it's perhaps a little bit longer.

回报较低,我有一个比较简约的说法,我是说可能有点长

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

So if it went up yesterday, it will more likely go up today, because I'm throwing in a positive number, otherwise a negative number.

所以如果它昨天涨了，那么它几天张的可能性也就比较大，因为我给它的是一个正值，否则就是一个负值。

麻省理工公开课 - 计算机科学及编程导论课程节选

It's perfectly impossible, I think, to imagine a stronger statement than this of the authority that Milton gives, the intellectual self-possession that he ascribes, to the individual.

我认为这完全是有可能的，去想一个比弥尔顿,这个理论更有力的论述，他认为每个个人拥有的沉着冷静和泰然自若。

耶鲁公开课 - 弥尔顿课程节选

Now Descartes, you remember, in his Meditations begins by asking a series of questions about how we can know anything, and one of the skeptical questions he asks is, "Well, might I not be crazy?"

大家应该记得，在《沉思录》的开头，笛卡尔问了一系列,关于我们如何知道一切的问题，其中的一个问题是，我可能疯了？

耶鲁公开课 - 文学理论导论课程节选

Before that, he was a child prodigy She was a music teacher, and probably a concert pianist. But I don't think she had a great career.

在这之前，他是一个神童,她是一个音乐教师，也可能,是一个音乐会钢琴家，但我不认为,她有个这么好的职业。

麻省理工公开课 - 电影哲学课程节选

So, why don't you take a look at this and tell me which are possible for a 2 s electron in a lithium atom where z 3 is going to be equal to three?

你们为什么不看一下这个然后告诉我对,于一个锂原子中的2s电子哪些是可能,的？它的有效电荷量,可能等于？

麻省理工公开课 - 化学原理课程节选

And the error that Lykken and Tellegen and many others make " when they generalize and say "change is not possible" " is what I call "the error of the average".

像Lykken和Tellegen那样，人们常错误地,概括出一个结论，“变化是不可能的“,我称之为“大众错误。

哈佛公开课 - 幸福课课程节选

I don't really care what key he's in 'cause I don't have absolute pitch, but I can find well, maybe it's a I,VI,IV,V,I chord progression or a I, I IV V I V,I progression or I,IV,V,I.

我也不需要知道他所用的调号，因为我不知道确切的音高，但是我能听出其中的和声，可能是一个，I，VI，IV，V，I级的和声进行，或者，是一个I，V，I的进行，或者。

耶鲁公开课 - 聆听音乐课程节选

I have no idea what's here at the moment so I'm just going to draw a question mark because that memory might have been used previously for some other purpose, but we know it's currently available to us so we have four bytes of memory.

我不知道在此刻这里是什么,所以我画一个问号，因为那块内存可能在之前,为其它的目的而使用过，但是我们知道它可以为我们所使用,这样我们就有4个字节的内存。

哈佛公开课 - 计算机科学课程节选

The first question we want to discuss has to do with the possibility of my surviving my death.

我们要讨论的第一个问题是,我是否可能幸免一死

耶鲁公开课 - 死亡课程节选

I believe I live in a rich country but maybe I've been fooled."

我相信我生活在一个富有的国度,但我可能是被愚弄了"

耶鲁公开课 - 心理学导论课程节选

Well,I suppose one possibility would be to say the guy in New York is Napoleon.

我猜其中一个可能性会是，纽约家伙是拿破仑。

耶鲁公开课 - 死亡课程节选

If I'm iterating from I on the outside, I on the inside, I'm going to start changing the value and I might very well induce an infinite loop but J is okay.

如果我在外面从I开始迭代，或从里面开始迭代，我将开始改变它的值,我可能引起一个无限循环，但是用J是可以的。

哈佛公开课 - 计算机科学课程节选