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All right so I probably should have chosen a shorter number 71 because now I can't figure it in here, but let's call it 71.
好的，我可能应该选择一个更短的数字,因为我不能指出它，我把它叫做。
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I'm not sure which offer I should accept.
我不确定应该选择哪一个。
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We said players should never play a strategy that's never a best response to anything, so we threw those away.
我们学到了参与人不应该选择,非最佳对策的策略,应该剔除它们
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This is very easy molecule because we know exactly where to put them without even having to think, we only have one option, and we'll make a triple bond between the carbon and the nitrogen.
这个分子非常简单,因为我们知道应该把它们放在哪里,甚至不用去想，我们只有一个选择，我们将在碳与氮之间形成一个三键。
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STUDENT: So, how do you come to a conclusion as to which you should use then, if you can determine the size based on solution, or based on input, so how do you decide?
学生：所以，你怎样决定你该用,哪个来算呢？现在如果你可以选择是，基于解决方案的大小，还是基于输入的大小，你应该怎样决定呢？
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The SEC--you have to decide-- you hear about public companies and private companies.
证交会...你必须选择...,你应该听说过上市公司和私营公司
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So it's clear that we should pick 3.
显然,我们应该选择3
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So, studies with police officers using reaction time in split-second choices on who to shoot find that your stereotypical attitudes play a huge role in who you're likely to shoot when they're holding an object in their hand that's unclear.
一些针对警察的研究,用霎间的反应时间让他们作出选择,应该向谁开枪，研究发现这些刻板态度,能极大的影响你选择向谁开枪,当他们手里拿着不明物体时。
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As a virginal orator, should she choose to unleash her powers, she would have the power of an Orpheus moving dumb things to sympathize -- Orpheus being one of Milton's most prized mythological figures of the powerful poet.
作为一名处女演说家，如果她选择释放自己的力量，她应该会有像俄耳甫斯一样的力量,使哑的东西也受到感动而有同情心,俄耳甫斯是弥尔顿最为称赞的有权利的神话传说诗人。
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Or are you going to say that that will only take us so far, and it's the conditions that are messed up, and we have to do something about the conditions to make it easier for people to make healthier choices?
还是认为上述做法见效甚微,问题关键在于混乱的饮食环境,我们应该先改善周遭环境,使得人们更容易作出更为健康的选择
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So part of it is, you yourselves have figured out, some of you, that you shouldn't choose a high number.
这对了一半,你们都明白了,不应该选择一个较大的数
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I left out the noble gases here because they do something a little bit special, and actually, I'm going to give you one last clicker question today to see if you can tell me what you think noble gases do.
我并没有把稀有气体算在里面,因为它们的电子亲和能有点特别，实际上，我将会把这作为今天的,最后一个选择题，来请大家告诉我,你们觉得稀有气体电子亲和能应该是怎样的。
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So we have extra incentive to get these clicker questions right.
所以，大家应该更有动力,把这些选择题答对。
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So we'll take another don't-take branch here.
所以我们将会在这里走到,另一个不应该选择的物品。
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He's going to choose easy, so we should defend easy.
他会选择平坦之途,我们应该在此设防
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Who thinks you should choose Alpha in that case?
谁觉得应该选择α
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As a further argument, if in fact everyone thought that way, and if you figured out everyone was going to think that way, then you would expect everyone to choose a number like 33 and in that case you should choose a number like 22.
继续分析,如果每个人都这么想,而且你明白大家都会这么想的话,那你会预计每个人都会选择33,而这种情况下你应该选择22
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Is anyone else pre-med here? Okay, so a pretty good showing. So maybe you can relate to some of the reasons I wanted to be pretty pre-med -- part of it was the interest in the science and the biology. Also, I wanted to help people -- it seemed like a really clear way that I could have a career that was challenging and involved in science, but also helping others.
你们中有医学预科的吗？,不错，有不少人,也许你们出于和我当年,想读医学预科一样的原因,一方面是受灾科学和生物学方面兴趣的驱使,另一方面,我想帮助别人,所以我似乎应该选择。
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Good, so even if everyone in the number-- everyone in the room didn't choose randomly but they all chose a 100, a very unlikely circumstance, but even if everyone had chosen 100, the highest, the average, sorry, the highest two-thirds of the average could possibly be is 66 2/3, hence 67 would be a pretty good choice in that case.
好的,如果每个人,教室里的每个人不是随机选择数字,而是全选了100,这好像不太可能,但如果每个人真的都选了100,就是最大的书,那平均数,抱歉,平均数的2/3会是66又2/3,此情况下67应该是个不错的选项
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Why does it seem like he's going to attack through the easy pass?
为什么他应该会选择从平坦之途入侵
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Some people have a reaction-- if you say you're taking a course in finance they think that maybe you're selling out or maybe you value money too much and that you should really be in some other field.
有些人的反应是...,如果你说你正在上一门金融课,别人会以为你在推销自己,或者你有些拜金,而你应该选择其他的专业领域
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It seems as though while you don't have a dominating strategy, it seems like Hannibal is better off attacking through-- It seems like he would attack through the easy pass.
虽然看起来你好像没有优势策略,但似乎汉尼拔将军最好的选择是,他应该会选择从平坦之途入侵
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So the first argument, that's a straight forward argument, the second argument says, I put myself in other peoples shoes, I realize they're not going to play a dominated strategy, and therefore, having realized they're not going to play a dominated strategy, I shouldn't play a strategy between 45 and 67.
所以第一个过程是直截了当地,而第二个过程,我从别人的角度思考,发现他们并不会选择劣势策略,意识到他们并不会选择劣势策略后,我也不应该选择45至67的数
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would have been the winning answer had everyone assumed that the average would have been constantly compounded down to 1, but since a couple of people chose the, I mean not incorrect answers, but the higher averages, then it was pushed up to 13.
如果大家都认为,平均数会一直下降到1的话,1应该是最终的答案,但是由于一部分人选择了,并不是说是错误的,但是却高于平均值的数,就把平均数推高到了13
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Imagine you're Player I in this game, what do you think you'd do?
现在假设你就是参与人I,你认为你应该怎么选择呢
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