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But that no particular stock is more or less likely to outperform the market, because all the information is incorporated in the price.
但是没有那一种特殊的股票是,最有可能比市场平均表现更好的，因为所有信息都是包含在价格上的。
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I said that no stock is likely to outperform the market or underperform the market.
我对你们说没有股票,会有比市场表现的好,或者差的可能性。
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I mean, lately they've been more inefficient, in my view, because the Fed's creating too much money.
我是说，最近市场表现的更没效率，在我看来，这是因为美联储发行了太多的货币。
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The only risks that are left are risks that everyone shares, so you would see planet-wide risks expressing themselves in consumption, but nothing else.
唯一剩下的风险,就是每人分担的那些风险，所以你会看到全球的市场风险,以消费的形式表现出来，再无其他。
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In general, less volatile stocks have done better over time than more volatile stocks, which is somewhat inconsistent with the notion of efficient markets.
一般来说，波动小的股票在长期内比波动大的股票,表现要好，一定程度上,这和金融市场有效论的观点是相悖的。
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Probably when the overall stock market does well so does Shiller, Inc.
很有可能当股票市场的总体表现好,希勒公司.的表现也一样好
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This behavior recently, I think, confirms that we are living in a very unusual time in the housing market and it's going to put a lot of stress on us.
我认为,这种表现验证了,我们正处于房地产市场的特殊时代,而且这将对我们产生很大压力
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We had an extraordinarily high price-to-earnings ratio representing a lot of optimism in the '20s for the stock market and then it corrected and went abruptly downward-- that was The Great Depression.
在二十年代,市盈率高得离奇,表现了当时人们对股票市场的乐观,当其得到修正并突然下跌时,大萧条便开始了
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But then I asked another question, do you think trying to pick mutual funds, trying to find a mutual fund that will beat the market is a smart thing to do or not a smart thing to do?
但是接着我又问了另一个问题,你们认为选择共同基金,选择一种强于市场表现的共同基金,是不是明智之举呢
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In that case, alpha is a measure of how much Shiller,Inc. outperforms.
这样的话,alpha就用以衡量,希勒公司.表现超过市场平均水平多少
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We'll come back to this, but beta of the stock is a measure of how much it moves with the market and the alpha of a stock is how much it outperforms the market.
回到原先的话题,beta用以衡量,本公司跟随市场变化的程度,alpha衡量超过市场的表现
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