So that can be unsettling when we think of this as happening at a certain contemporaneous moment in the history of thought.
如果把这个问题放在思想史的特定时期来想,它可能是难以解决的。
which you might have been to, which is I think the largest pub in England.
你可能去过,我觉得它是英格兰最大的酒吧。
The final sin I want to talk about is probably the most common, and it's called the Texas sharpshooter fallacy.
我想讲的最后的一个谬误,可能是最常见的,它叫做德克萨斯神枪手谬误。
And this puzzle piece here colored in blue because it's a Boolean expression is just something that--whose answer is either a yes or no, 0 true or false, one or zero.
这个拼图染成蓝色,因为它是布尔表达式,它的结果只可能是肯定或否定,对或错,1或者。
It could be hydrogen, it could be helium plus, it could be lithium double plus and so on.
它可能是氢,可能是带一个正电荷的氦,也可能是带两个正电荷的锂,等等。
Then, I use this sense I have of what the whole must be like to continue to read successive parts--lines, sentences, whatever they may be.
然后,我在对于全文设想的指导下,继续读剩下的部分,行,句,无论它可能是什么。
It could be that there's a dimension about the environment and a dimension about foreign policy, and maybe another dimension about redistributive politics.
它可能是有一个方面是关于环境的,而另一个方面是关于外交政策的,第三个方面也可能是再分配政策
You might have heard about this because it's been quite an active area of science.
你们可能听说过它,因为它是科研中一个相当热门的领域
And I think for that reason that religion is maybe the largest challenge to the idea of human rights as it is currently incapsulated in human rights law, both out of the United Nations and also other international bodies and domestic bodies.
基于这一点,我认为宗教可能是,人权观念最大的挑战,因为它现在受到人权法压制,无论是在联合国,还是其他国际国内的组织里都是如此。
It's a possible theory.
它是一种可能的理论。
It seems to me that some things are invisible in the relevant sense, radio waves being an example of that, can be destroyed, so even though the soul is also invisible in the relevant sense, maybe it can be destroyed as well.
我认为一些东西是无形的,在相关的意义上讲,这些无形的东西可以毁灭,无线电波就是个例子,所以即使灵魂同样是无形的,根据相关的定义,但可能它也可以毁灭。
I would've thought, given the evidence of what Bogdanovich says in that documentary, for instance, if the 4 to 5 minutes has not been cut, it might have been better than Citizen Kane, and maybe one of the few greatest movies that he ever made, maybe the greatest movie, who knows.
举个例子,通过博格达诺维奇,在纪录片中的讲述,如果那45分钟,没有被剪,它可能会比,《公民凯恩》要好,也可能是,他最好的几部电影之一,也可能是最好的,谁知道呢。
So it's... Probably a lot of artists and people on television will live,
所以它是……很多艺术家和电视上的人可能会住在这里,
Premise 2: To be a practical idealist, the foundation of it has to be the belief that change is possible.
第二前提:,作为一个实际的理想主义者,它的基础必须是,相信改变是可能的。
So, if it's a four-year bond, it would trade at about $90, 6% so it would be yielding 6%.
所以,如果这是四年期的债券,那么它可能在大约90美元左右进行交易,因此它的收益率大约在。
And the oldest one of those letters is 1 Thessalonians, probably,dated to around the year 50 or thereabouts.
而其中最早的是帖撒罗尼迦前书,它可能写于主后第50年左右。
So you can see that we're starting to have a very complicated equation, and it turns out that it's mathematically impossible to even solve the exact Schrodinger equation as we move up to higher numbers of electrons.
所有你们可以看到我们得到了,一个非常复杂的方程,结果是它在数学上是,不可能解出确定的,薛定谔方程,当我们考虑更高的电子数目的时候。
It's perfectly inscrutable as far as I'm concerned. But I think I can say with absolute certainty that one of its possible significances cannot be that the unprofitable servant should have waited to make his investment.
这对我来说很神秘,但我可以说,我很确信,它可能的含义之一,不会是让那个无益的仆人去等。
Not possible, but you could write a book about it.
这实际是不可能的,但你还是可以写它
That may be the thing that has the biggest value, because let's say if you have guys in the product development team, and they're using one particular way of doing things, another team is using something completely different, off in another country, somebody's using something different.
它可能是最有价值的,因为如果,产品研发团队,使用某种做事方式,另外一个团队用完全不同的做事方式,在不同国家,做事方式是不同的。
And that's probably its most famous section and it's beautiful, beautiful architecture.
那可能是它最有名的地方吧。它的建筑风格非常美。
And it can be all different styles from people like, playing...
它可能是人们所喜欢的各种类型的音乐,响起了……
So it's this interesting scenario where it's probably hit or miss, certainly early on and as one of the clips they are indicated, these are the kinds of things where computers ideally have to learn overtime.
因此,这是一个有意思的事情,因为它有可能是投其所好或者不对其胃口,当然继续,正如其中一个短片所示,这些东西需要计算机,花一些时间去学习。
And so, arguably, the fact that life is precious, that it won't endure, could actually increase its value for us.
所以,可以说,生命是珍贵的,它将不再这个事实,事实上可能增加了其对我们来说的价值。
while plainly we can understand it simply to mean preconception which is inescapable nevertheless can still be bad.
尽管我们知道它的意思是,不可避免的先入为主的看法,可能是不好的。
So if it went up yesterday, it will more likely go up today, because I'm throwing in a positive number, otherwise a negative number.
所以如果它昨天涨了,那么它几天张的可能性也就比较大,因为我给它的是一个正值,否则就是一个负值。
And so very often I would find myself with gigabytes worth of data, at night I needed to analyze this data and look for this patterns and frankly the reality was sometimes I could spend 10-15 minutes whipping up a little script, a little program that unfortunately would take eight hours or more to run.
我经常会发现十亿字节的数据,晚上我就需要分析这些数据并,找出模型,坦白说,有时,我会花10-15分钟来编写一个小脚本,一个小程序,但不幸的是,运行它可能需要8个小时或更多时间。
If we have a debate about abortion in this class, people--some people might say, "Look. The fetus is a sentient being and as such it has a right to survive and shouldn't be killed by its mother."
如果我们在课常上以堕胎展开辩论,有些人可能会说,“胎儿是有知觉的生命体,所以它有生存的权利,它的母亲不应该扼杀它”
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