So the right question to ask is, what's the probability, not that June had 48 babies, but that at least one of the 12 months had 48 babies.
所以正确的问题是,不是去看这个6月,有48个宝宝出生,而是去看至少有一个月的出生人数。
What they did is, they looked at 12 months, they took the months with the most births in it, which happened to be June, and calculated the probability of 3 percent.
俄克拉荷马神枪手谬误,他们看了十二个月的人数,然后选择了出生人数最多的一个月?,正好是6月,然后计算出3%的概率。
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