He did this jointly with the Chairman of the Economics Department here, Chris Udry and he has spent time in India looking at the village economies.
这是他和耶鲁经济学院院长,克里斯·尤迪合作完成的,他也曾在印度做过农村经济的研究
I thought similar to Chris actually and I also thought that if we got two-thirds and everyone was choosing numbers in between 1 and 100 ends up with 33, would be around the number.
实际上我的想法和克里斯的相近,我也在想我们得选平均数的2/3,每个人都在1到100中选择的话,最后结果可能是33,会接近于平均数的2/3
So if you think people are going to play a particular way, in particular if you think people are going to choose the strategy of Ryan and Chris, and choose around 33, then 22 seems a great answer.
如果你认为大家会按这种方式推理的话,确切地说就是如果你认为大家会依照,瑞恩和克里斯的策略而选择33的话,22看起来是个不错的选择
So the flaw in the argument that Chris and Ryan had -- it isn't a bad argument, it's a good starting point but the flaw in the argument, the mistake in the argument was the first sentence in the argument.
所以克里斯和瑞恩的说法的漏洞在于,这并不是一个错误的说法,这是一个很好的出发点,但其中存在漏洞,其中的漏洞在于第一句话
So Christine is correct in saying that once we delete the strategies 1 and 10 once we realize that those positions are not going to be chosen by our sophisticated candidates then we realize that probably choosing 2 isn't a good idea either.
克里斯汀说的很对,一旦我们剔除了策略1和10,一旦我们意识到,不会有人选择这些立场时,我们会发现,选立场2或9可能也不是个好主意了
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