But I guess Locke would be against suicide, and that's still my own consent. I agree by taking my life.
但我估计洛克会反对自杀,其实自杀同样是出于自己意愿,我同意放弃自己生命。
I think I might have to stay up all night long.
我估计我得熬通宵了。
I would be able to predict their size, because how far they moved depended on how big they were.
我还应当能估计它的大小,因为它能跑多远取决于它的大小
The fire chief was asked, CEO well, he wasn't exactly the fire chief. I guess he was the CEO.
记者问消防队长,准确地说不是消防队长,我估计是。
I guess the other two themes I want to discuss, and not in great detail, but--are the wars.
我估计我想讨论的其他两个主题,不会抠的太细,是战争
I think the proper estimate is closer to 80,000 or 100,000.
我认为正确的估计约为八万到十万个
You could think of these as two companies producing bottled water and now we're going to get hundreds of letters saying not all bottled waters are the same, especially from Italians and the French, but never mind. Let's just pretend that they are.
把他们想象成两家瓶装水厂商吧,我估计我们会收到数百封信件,告诉我说不是所有瓶装水都是一样的,尤其是从意大利和法国寄过来的那些,无所谓了,就把它们想象成是同质的吧
It was my first trip outside the United States and really helped me understand my identity as an American was probably the most significant aspect of my identity.
是我第一次离开美国,它使我明白了,“我是一个美国人“,估计是我,身份中最重要的因素了。
I did it myself using my data, but it would always look more or less like this-- slightly different positions if people use different estimates.
这幅图是我根据自己的数据画出来的,有效边界的图形大致就是如此-,随着人们采用不同的估计值,其位置会发生微小的变化。
But if it's on sale, I'll probably buy it.
但要是在打折,我估计就会买下来。
It's kind of--there must be something in cooking like that -use cornstarch or something, a filler -I don't know--just to make--give something body.
估计和烹饪的道理一样,用淀粉或某种填充物,我也不清楚,反正是进行塑形
So for those of you--for the half of you -that are going to end up in law school, this is pretty good training.
我估计你们多数人可能会去读法学院,博弈论对你们来说是门不错的基础课
Some people might disagree with that, they might not take my estimates.
有人也许会不同意我的观点,他们可能不采取我的估计值。
If you agree with my estimates, then you should do this as an investor, you should hold only some mixture of this tangency portfolio, which is 9% oil, 27% stocks, and 64% bonds.
如果你赞同我的估计值,那么作为一个投资者的话你应该这么做,你应该只持有,符合这个切线投资组合比例的投资,即9%的石油,27%的股票,和64%的债券。
They divide by n-1 to make it an unbiased estimator of the population variance, but I'm just going to show it in a simple way here.
当除以n-1表示的是对总体的,无偏估计,我在这里只是说的简单一点
So, as so far I know, you're dying to know about midterm and final and those wretched things.
现在我估计,你们都特别想知道关于,那些期中期末之类的破事
This government pension fund, I guess, in dollars, is about $200 billion.
这部分政府养老基金,换算成美元,我估计大概值2000亿。
So without giving away my age too much-- I guess it will actually--when I was a kid growing up in England, there was this guy - there was a pop star-- a slightly post-punk pop star called Joe Jackson, who none of you would have heard of, because you were all about ten years old, my fault.
虽然我不想透露我的年龄,但也没办法,我从小在英格兰长大,当时有一个流行歌手,他叫乔?杰克森,后朋克歌手,我估计你们都没听说,因为他红的时候你们才十多岁
I don't find that my analysis is profound in the final answer, I just took some estimates using my data and, again, we could-- if someone wanted to argue with us they could argue with my estimates of the expected returns of the standard deviations and the covariances, but not with this theory.
我在计算过程中并没有做太深入的分析,我只是用我的数据做了一下大概的估计,我再说一次,我们可以-,如果有人想就这个问题与我们争辩,他们可以争论我对期望收益的估计,或是争论标准差和协方差的估计值,但并不会针对理论本身。
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