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So in fact, it is the case, if you look at data, and by the way, that's the way I ended up setting a lot of these parameters and playing with it, was comparing what my simulation said to historical stock data.
所以实际上，在这个例子中，如果你看到数据，顺便说一下，这就是我设置很多变量,然后编程的方式，也就是把我的仿真程序得到的结果,和历史股票数据进行比较。
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The stock market is the best investment for long-term holders who can just buy and hold through the ups and down of the market."
对于那些能在股票市场的跌宕起伏中,一直持股的长线投资者而言,股票市场是最佳的投资
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When a stock is first listed in the market, it comes with some price.
当股票在市场中出现的时候，它就会有一个价格。
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In our investing experiment that it was come with a puisne at Northwestern, she's now an assistent professor there people saw 3 options, two Stocks and a Bond.
在我们的投资试验中,试验是在西北大学一名晚辈的帮助下完成的，她现在是助理教授,受试者会看到三个选择，其中两个是股票，一个是债券。
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You and your partner, Warren Buffett, have for years complained and warned about the dangers ve perceived in the modern derivatives markets, particularly credit derivatives, and also concerns about interest rate swaps, currency swaps, and equity swaps.
你和你的合伙人，沃伦，巴菲特,多年来一直提醒现代衍生品市场中,存在的危险，that，you’,尤其是信用衍生品，利率掉期，货币互换和股票互换。
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We had a bubble in the stock market in the '90s and it collapsed after 2000 and with that it brought the economy down.
我们在九十年代股票市场中有泡沫,并且它在2000年崩塌了0,这使得经济一度低迷。
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In a stock repurchase, if they repurchase everybody's shares-- the same proportion--it doesn't affect that ratio.
股票回购中,若他们购回所有人的股份,相同份额比,那就不会影响比例
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So, what it means then is that the optimal portfolio should not be the one I show there, but should be one that's very heavily into stocks.
他所想提出的观点是,最佳投资组合并不是我在这讲的那个，而是把大量资金都投资到股票市场中。
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The respondents were asked to identify the organization that insures you against losing money in the stock market or as the result of investment fraud.
被调查者被问到是否知晓,在股票市场或者在投资欺诈案中,保护他们的资金不受损失的机构
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Let's assume that you've won the lottery, and have serious money that you foolishly wish to invest in the stock market There are two basic strategies to choose from in investing.
让我们假设你赢了彩票，然后又一大笔钱,而你很傻的想要投资到股票中去,有两个投资策略,可以选择。
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This is--I'm showing here U.S. data, but Siegel also argues in the latest edition that the equity premium is also high for advanced countries over the whole world.
这就是。。。我在这展示的是美国的数据，但是西格尔在他最新出版的书中讨论道,在世界范围内许多发达国家的,股票溢价同样很高。
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When we were taking 90% of dividends that was 90% of the stock market being taken by the government; but that's not all because we were also taxing the corporations.
当我们从股利中征收90%的税,也就是股票市场收益中的90%都被政府拿走,这还不算完,因为公司获得利润后也要交税
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When the stock market is going up they think that -they increasingly think that the stock market is just the best investment, until when it starts falling, then they start retracting from that.
当股票市场上行时,越来越多的人会觉得,股票是最佳投资选择,而当股市下跌时,人们纷纷从股市中撤出
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He said all this--this thing that I have up here-- well the previous slide, showing the dividend earnings ratio--it's just cultural; it means nothing because, to some extent, what's not shown in that diagram was the stock repurchase.
他是这么描述的,在这里,在上一张幻灯片中,展示了股利收益比,这跟文化相关,但却无意义,在某种意义上,在图表中没有展示出股票回购
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I'll draw something from the distribution, so this is interesting, distribution I'm now calling self dot distribution, and remember this will be different for each stock.
我会从分布中读取一个值，这就是有趣的部分，我现在会调用self。,请记住每只股票都是不一样的。
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In terms of just general investing culture-- and we're behavioral in our attitude-- it was clearer that you bought a stock to get a dividend.
在一个投资性文化中,我们更偏向于行动派,人们为了得到分红而购买股票的意图愈加明显
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Jeremy Siegel, Stocks for the Long Run, says the default should be equities.
杰瑞米·西格尔，在《股票的长期走势》一书中，指出默认的投资方式应该是股票。
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The title of the book, Stocks for the Long Run-- stocks always outperform other investments for the long run and he says it's not due to selection bias.
书名是为《股市长线法宝》,长期投资中股票总是比其他资产有更高的收益,他认为他在研究中排除了选择性偏差
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They help prevent fraud, misrepresentation, manipulation of information in stocks and bonds.
它帮助人们防止诈骗，虚报和巧妙利用证券股票市场中，信息不对称而牟利等事情的发生。
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The problem that's been revealed in finance literature is that there's an uncanny tendency for the stock price to go up after the company awards large quantities of options to its executives.
但一些金融文献中提到这样一个问题,即出现了一种诡异的趋势,一旦公司奖励了大量的股票期权给,公司管理层,之后股价就会上升
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The only way that somebody can overweight Ford Motor Company in the market is to have somebody have a counter position where they underweight Ford Motor Company; only one of those is going to be right.
要增持福特公司股票,唯一途径就是找一个,想要减持福特股票的人,两方中只有一方能做出正确的证券选择
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If you know the secrets of a company, if you know some good news about the company before the public does, you could buy the shares of the company and experience the profit when the price goes up.
如果你掌握了公司内幕信息,你能比公众更早得知,公司的利好消息,那你就会去购买公司的股票,然后从股票升值中获利
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And then we looked at this little loop before, for i in range number of stocks, I'm going to create two different lists of stocks, one where the moves, or distributions, are chosen from a uniform, and the other where they're Gaussian.
这里的这个小循环，因为i代表股票，我会建立两个不同的股票链表，一个是代表股票价格的移动，或者说是分布，它们是从均匀分布中得出的，而另一个链表是从高斯分布中得出的。
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You have to form some kind of balance in your life and not let anyone demand a hundred hours a week of your time If they do, you should sell the stock they give as soon as you can and diversify.
你必须形成一个平衡在你的生命中,不能使任何人让你,一周工作一百个小时,如果他们这么要求了，你应该以最快的速度,把他们给你的股票卖掉然后转业。
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