The method focuses on minimizing the ensemble mean square error of the estimation.
该方法可以使估计的总体均方误差最小。
The results show that TC initial position perturbation make its track different, but ensemble mean is close to control forecast.
试验结果表明：热带气旋定位误差影响路径预报，但扰动初始位置的集合平均预报与控制试验的预报水平相接近。
The probability and the formula to calculate mean values in ordinary quantum mechanics comes from the average of double wave description over a certain ensemble.
通常量子力学中的概率性和平均值公式来源于双波描述对某类系综的平均结果。
By selecting sub-ensemble with smaller error, the root mean square error of forecast is reduced by over 10%.
采用最优集合子集预报方式时的臭氧预报均方根误差比原确定性预报低了10%以上。
By selecting sub-ensemble with smaller error, the root mean square error of forecast is reduced by over 10%.
采用最优集合子集预报方式时的臭氧预报均方根误差比原确定性预报低了10%以上。
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