第4章：财务危机预警模型的个案研究。
Chapter 4: Case research of the early warning theory of the financial crisis.
如何建立良好的财务预警模型就更具有重要意义。
It also has important meaning how to establish good financial early warning model.
建立了矿区生态环境质量预警指标体系及预警模型。
It also establishes the mining ecological environment quality forecasting index system and the forecasting model.
在企业财务预警系统中，如何构建预警模型是关键问题。
How to build a model of early warning is a key problem in the enterprise financial early warning system.
根据建立的预警模型，设计并实现了一个这样的原型系统。
According to the early warning model, we have designed and realized such a prototype system.
结合实际数据就建立的经济预警模型进行实证分析和比较分析。
The economic early-warning model is testified through data experiments in practice and compared with BP.
然后给出了地质灾害评价指标体系，分析了地质灾害评价与预警模型；
Then, geological hazard assessment index is established, and geological hazard assessment and early-warning models are analyzed.
关于上市公司财务预警的研究，国内外学者已经建立了多个预警模型。
As for financial crisis warning research, the domestic and international scholars have established many models.
传统的基于统计技术的变量筛选法不能保证财务困境预警模型的精度。
The variable selection method based on traditional statistical technique can not achieve high accuracy in financial distress prediction.
笔者利用模糊神经网络方法建立了判定泥石流灾害发生可能性的预警模型。
With the fuzzy neural network method the early warning model for judging the occurrence possibility of debris flow is established.
本文选取的样本全部为上市工业企业，以期建立一个行业预警模型提高预警能力。
The samples selected by the paper are through listed industrial enterprises in order to establish the industrial financial distress prediction model to improve the predicting ability.
所以，一个有效适用的财务预警模型无论对企业还是对利益相关者而言都意义重大。
Thus an effective and applicable Financial Early-warning Model means a great deal to enterprises or those whose interests are concerned.
因此，水闸枢纽工程施工进度预警模型研究具有很强的现实意义和一定的理论价值。
Therefore, it has strong realistic meaning and a certain theory value to study on construction-schedule early-warning model of waterlocks key project.
财务预警模型是指借助企业财务指标和非财务指标体系来判别企业财务状况的模型。
Financial alert matrix is a model that USES business finance indicators and nonbusiness finance indicators to identify the financial status of a company.
本文运用BP神经网络和主成分分析相结合的方法构建了一个商业银行风险预警模型。
The paper sets up a risk early-warning model using the methods of BP neural network and principal component analysis.
实证结果发现：在财务预警模型中，负债比率、现金流量比率、每股盈余具高度显著性；
As the result of substantial test: In this financial pre-caution model analysis, the debt ratio, net profit ratio and EPS are highly with significant.
本文在对我国目前财务危机预警馍型研究的基础上，进一步研究构建财务危机预警模型。
This text is on the foundation of studies on financial forecasting model of crisis at present of our country, study and structure the forecasting model of financial crisis further.
预警模型对已知的样本数据可以完全判别，在初步使用后对未知样本数据的基本判断准确。
The early-warning model can distinguish the known sample data completely. After the preliminary use, the early-warning model can accurate distinguish almost the unknown sample data.
回顾与企业危机预警相关的理论，选择与构建心理压力危机预警模型相关的理论进行总结。
Recalling the crisis early warning and enterprises related to the theory of choice and the construction of psychological pressure on the crisis early warning related to the theoretical model summary.
建立一个科学、有效的商业银行风险预警模型，是有效防范、化解商业银行风险的重要措施。
The establishment of a scientific and effective risk early-warning model of commercial Banks is an important measure to prevent the risks.
以GIS技术为核心，将水质预警模型与GIS技术相结合，建立了地下水水质预警信息系统。
The groundwater quality early warning system is established based on the GIS method, which combine the GIS technology with groundwater quality early-warning model.
广域网安全预警系统主要由事件采集模块、事件分析模块、安全预警模型和事件响应模块组成。
WAN security prewarning system consists of incident produce module, incident analysis module, security prewarning model and incident respond module.
借鉴FR早期风险预警模型的研究方法，建立适用于预测我国资本流动脆弱性风险的预警系统。
With the help of FR early risk alert model, this paper builds a risk alert model for forecasting Chinese capital flow.
实证结果显示所建立的预警模型有令人满意的预测效果，且行业研究的预测效果也优于整体研究。
The empirical results indicate that the models built up have satisfactory predicting accuracy, and the industry-specific results are more accurate than the overall research.
在分析现有财务危机预警模型的基础上，利用现金流量综合分析模型的有关数据对其进行了改进。
Improvements are made on the existing financial crisis early warning model by using corresponding data from the comprehensive cash flow analysis model.
因此对商业银行信贷风险管理引入财务危机预警模型进行定量分析具有十分重要的理论和现实意义。
Therefore it is of very important significance on theory and reality to bring quantitative analysis into the financial crisis forewarning model for credit risk management of commercial bank.
EVA虽然从理论上优越于会计收益指标，但是就预警模型的构建而言，它并不能取代会计收益指标。
Although EVA is superior to income indicators theoretically, as for the set-up of the Early-warning model, it can not replace income indicators.
并用一个财务困境预警模型对ST公司的重组绩效进行了验证，同时也验证了该模型的实际应用效果。
Using a financial distress early warning model, the paper validates the restructuring performance of ST companies. The practical effect of this model is also validated in this paper.
并用一个财务困境预警模型对ST公司的重组绩效进行了验证，同时也验证了该模型的实际应用效果。
Using a financial distress early warning model, the paper validates the restructuring performance of ST companies. The practical effect of this model is also validated in this paper.
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