然而，每一个过程都有局限性，会导致我们持有错误的信念或作出错误的预测。
Yet, each of these processes has limitations and can lead us to hold mistaken beliefs or make false predictions.
有一个很早就有、但一再被证明是错误的预测：苹果公司可能推出自己的电视机。
One long-running prediction, proved wrong again and again: that Apple might make a television set.
于是我们往往这样错误的预测：好的东西就能使我们幸福并长久的幸福下去，而不好的东西会毁了我们。
And so we mistakenly predict that good things will make us happy... Really happy for a really long time... Bad things, why they'll just slay us.
科斯格累夫的预测被发现是完全错误的。
尽管一些经济学家预测未来经济会继续复苏，贝利却说，唯一可以肯定的是银行不太可能再次犯同样的错误。
While some economists predict continued recovery in the future, Baily says the only certainty is that banks are unlikely to make the same mistakes—twice.
尽管一些经济学家预测未来经济会继续复苏，贝利却说，唯一可以肯定的是银行不太可能再次犯同样的错误。
While some economists predict continued recovery in the future, Baily says the only certainty is that banks are unlikely to make the same mistakes twice.
认为房屋市场很快就有好转的预测结果证明是错误的。
Predictions of an early improvement in the housing market proved false.
当然，我的预测可能是错误的。
他有一个预测是错误的：每个人都会每天步行10英里。
He was wrong in one prediction: that everybody would walk 10 miles a day.
然而，他从不做出专业的预测，因为“大致正确总比完全错误”要好。
But he never makes professional predictions because it is better to be "broadly right rather than precisely wrong".
预测的误差可能来自错误的数据、错误的假设或错误的模型。
Errors in forecasting can result from bad data, wrong assumptions or a faulty model.
不过，有关这些产品将于本周上市的预测被证明是错误的。
Predictions those products would hit this week, however, have proven wrong.
如果给程序提供错误的“原料”——类型或形式不匹配——则很可能得到无法预测的结果，甚至导致灾难。
If a program is fed the wrong material - divergent in type or form - the result is likely to be unpredictable, even catastrophic.
这意味着能帮助预测或可能防止一些人们放的错误。
That means it could be used to help predict, and so possibly prevent, some human errors.
电台传教士HaroldCamping（人名）曾犯下一个幼稚的错误。他预测出天启有可能在五月21日开始。
HAROLD CAMPING, the radio preacher who inaccurately forecast that the Apocalypse would begin on May 21st, made a rookie's mistake.
占星预测的问题并不在于它们是错误的。
So, the problem with astrological predictions is not that they're wrong.
显示这个预测错误的第一个迹象是，2008年表现得比预测中更为平静。
The first sign that the prediction was wrong came when 2008 turned out to be even calmer than expected.
不但没能预期到早前的股价崩溃，相反她因错误地预测股价上涨而出名。
She failed to see previous share price crashes and was famous for her upwards forecasts.
当然，这些预测数字可能会是错误的，但预测数字既可能过高，也可能过低。
Those forecasts could, of course, be wrong, but they could be too high as well as too low.
但目前选民们举动异常，情绪无法预测，欧德内尔女士也许会证明他们是错误的。
But with the electorate in its present bizarre, unpredictable mood, Ms o 'donnell may yet prove them wrong.
当参与者发现他们的回答结果和他们的奖励大小时，研究者们测试了他们大脑中所谓的积极的预测错误信号。
Researchers measured so-called positive prediction error signals in the participants' brains as the participants discovered the results of their answers and the size of their rewards.
先前的研究已经表明大脑中的多巴胺系统直接对预测错误做出反应。
Previous research has shown that the dopamine system in the brain is directly responsive to prediction errors.
通过在恰当的时候获得专家建议，你就可以在创业初期避免代价昂贵的错误，比如过于乐观的销售预测，盲目的市场战略等。
Getting expert advice at the right time can avoid costly mistakes at startup, from sales forecasts that are too optimistic to ill-advised marketing strategies.
对于2008年，梧桐树下可以确定的一个预测是多数人的看法将会被证明是错误的。
The one forecast Buttonwood can safely make for 2008 is that the consensus will prove to be wrong.
然后，青少年大脑中的更大的预测错误信号可能引起增强的动力区获得更积极的结果，因此引起冒险行为。
It follows, then, that the greater prediction error signals in the adolescent brain could result in increased motivation to acquire more positive outcomes, and therefore greater risk-taking.
因此，仅仅通过检查源代码是很难预测和理解这些错误发生的可能性和发生的情景的。
It is extremely hard to predict and comprehend these possibilities and scenarios just by inspecting source code.
三天之后，由瑞典乌普萨拉大学的研究者发表的一篇文章显示IEA的预测肯定是错误的，因为它假设的开采率看起来无法实现。
Three days later, a paper published by researchers at Uppsala University in Sweden showed that the IEA's forecasts must be wrong, because it assumes a rate of extraction that appears to be impossible.
三天之后，由瑞典乌普萨拉大学的研究者发表的一篇文章显示IEA的预测肯定是错误的，因为它假设的开采率看起来无法实现。
Three days later, a paper published by researchers at Uppsala University in Sweden showed that the IEA's forecasts must be wrong, because it assumes a rate of extraction that appears to be impossible.
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