对负荷曲线进行了频谱分析,得出维纳滤波具有过滤冲击负荷、消除毛刺使预测曲线光滑易于人工调整的优点。
Spectrum analysis to load curves shows that the wiener filtering has the merits of filtering impact load, removing burrs and smoothing forecast curves.
基于该结果,还能求取某一置信水平下的预测负荷曲线的包络线。
According to the result, envelopes of load forecasting curve under certain confidence level can also be obtained.
本文提出了运用灰色预测模型和几何回归模型预测重大节日期间电网日负荷曲线的方法,并编制了相应软件。
A method to use the grey prediction model and geometric regression model to predict the daily load curve of power systems during the great holiday is proposed. A relevant software is presented.
日负荷曲线预测是电力市场运营的基本内容。
Next-day load curve prediction is the important items of electricity market operation system.
南京市实施的部分结果表明,负荷管理可以改变电力系统负荷曲线的形状,从而达到期望的目标,同时还可以为电力负荷的预测提供修正的参数。
Part of implementary result shows that load management can shape the load curve of power system to reach the expected aim and supply revised parameters for load forecast.
该模型根据示范点各大楼的冷、电负荷预测延时变化曲线,按照经济最优原则制定微型燃气轮机的发电计划。
The results show that the generation curves of micro turbine made by this optimal model can satisfy the operation economy and primary energy ratio index requirements of this project.
采用历史负荷曲线修正法对2010年负荷特性发展趋势进行了预测。
A forecast on development trends of the load properties in the year 2010 is carded using historical load curve correction method.
通过对华东某地市电网日负荷96点曲线的预测结果显示,该方法效果较好,日预测均方根误差在1.78%以内,能较好地满足实际电力系统的负荷预测要求。
The forecasting results of a city in east China showed that, the MSE forecasting error of 96 points daily load is only about 1.78%. The method can satisfy the request of real power system well.
通过对华东某地市电网日负荷96点曲线的预测结果显示,该方法效果较好,日预测均方根误差在1.78%以内,能较好地满足实际电力系统的负荷预测要求。
The forecasting results of a city in east China showed that, the MSE forecasting error of 96 points daily load is only about 1.78%. The method can satisfy the request of real power system well.
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