本文提出了一种新的中长期电力负荷预测方法。
This paper introduces a new method of the middle or long term electric load.
由于传统灰色预测模型固有的偏差和模型参数的固定选择,导致预测精度较低,不适应中长期负荷预测。
Because of the inherent bias in the traditional grey-forecasting model and the fixed choice of its parameter, the forecast precision is relatively low and unsuitable to the long-term forecasting.
因此,提高中长期电力负荷预测精度,对于保障电网安全、经济、优质运行具有重要意义。
Therefore, raising the precision of the medium arid long term power load forecast is of great significance to ensure security, economy and the excellent operation of power grids.
准确的中长期负荷预测能够提高电力系统的经济效益和社会效益。
Accurate mid-long term load forecasting can improve the economic and social benefits of power system.
本文分别对人工神经网络(ANN)在短期负荷预测和中长期负荷预测中的应用进行了分析、对比。
In this paper, the application of artificial neural network (ANN) for short - term load forecasting and mid - long - term load forecasting are analyzed and compared.
对中长期负荷组合预测进行了研究,提出了基于预测有效度最优的原则来求取组合预测加权系数的方案。
The changeable weight combined method is presented based on the principles of forecast effectiveness optimization through study of mid-long load combined forecast.
把模糊聚类法应用在中长期电力负荷预测中,并在某城市的城网改造中,应用该方法预测未来十年内的年用电量。
This paper introduces the fuzzy clustering algorithm in the power distribution system planning of the city, and an application using it to forecast the total load of every year of the city.
实际算例的分析表明,所提出的基于RBF神经网络的缺损数据处理方法和改进的中长期负荷预测模型是可行和有效的。
An improved model based on RBF neural network for medium and long-term load forecasting is presented. The feasibility and validity o...
由于配电网中长期负荷预测,会受到很多不确定因素的影响。因此,到目前为止,还没有哪一种方法能保证在任何情况下都能获得满意的预测结果。
Because the medium and long term load forecasting in distribution network is affected by many uncertain factors, up to now, no methods can obtain the satisfying forecasting results at all instances.
针对中长期电力负荷预测特点,提出了一种基于AHP(层次分析法)的中长期电力负荷预测综合模型。
Aiming at the features of medium and long-term load forecasting, a comprehensive model for medium and long-term load forecasting based on Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) was put forward.
给出了基于一阶和二阶改进预测有效度最优级原则的中长期负荷组合预测模型。
Meanwhile, it is obtained the combined model of mid-long term load forecast based on the 1-order and 2-order improved forecast effectiveness optimum principle.
给出了基于一阶和二阶改进预测有效度最优级原则的中长期负荷组合预测模型。
Meanwhile, it is obtained the combined model of mid-long term load forecast based on the 1-order and 2-order improved forecast effectiveness optimum principle.
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