它允许您暂时不做出选择,直到您减少了不确定性,然后可以做出更明智的基于事实的决策。
It lets you keep your options open until you have reduced uncertainty and can make more informed, fact-based decisions.
所有关于科学上的不确定性为延迟重要决策提供了一个合适的可原谅理由。
All too often uncertainty in science offers a convenient excuse for delaying important decisions.
Gneezy等人指出这种不确定性效应有时会指导人们作出非常荒诞的决策。
point out that the uncertainty effect can sometimes lead us to make decisions that are utterly ridiculous. Take this hypothetical
确定性:理论假定决策制定者对每个选项后会随之发生的结果拥有完全且准确的知识。
Certainty: theories that assume the decision-maker has complete and precise knowledge of the consequences that will follow on each alternative.
不懂得一个公司在接受风险方面应该如何去做将导致对一个组织来说缺乏指导性和存在不确定性,可能会导致拙劣的或者低效的决策程序。
Not knowing what a firm is willing to do in terms of risk acceptance will lead to uncertainty and a lack of guidance for the organization, possibly resulting in poor or inefficient decision-making.
他们的理论开始于这样一种观察,即,做决策时往往有"不确定性",往往产生错误的推论,但有些错误的后果比另一些错误的后果的代价更高昂。
Their theory begins with the observation that decision making under uncertainty often results in erroneous inference, but some errors are more costly in their consequences than others.
其结果是短期决策的结果的不确定性比以往任何时候都大,同时针对每个变化都要进行疯狂的调整。
The result is ever greater uncertainty about all kinds of short-term decision-making, as well as frantic realignments of every variety.
我突然间生出一个宏大的景象,这景象包含整个确定性的宇宙、我自己、我在其中的位置,以及所有那些我们正在做出思维决策、体现某些因果流的不同点。
Suddenly I had this big vision about the whole deterministic universe, myself, my place in it and all these different points where we believe we're making decisions just reflecting some causal flow.
它表示,决策者预计通胀将有所缓和,但相信“通胀前景的不确定性增加了。”
It said policymakers expect inflation to moderate, but believe "uncertainty about the inflation outlook has increased".
关于变革的决策是最容易引起争议的——公司结构的重组、目标的变更以及关键员工的离开都会带来不确定性,而不确定性又会使人焦虑。
Decisions about change are the most charged - reorganizations, changing goals, and the departure of key employees create uncertainty, and uncertainty generates anxiety.
迄今为止,很少有较为实用的模型用以建立解决模糊性和不确定性决策问题的专家系统。
There are few practical models for constructing the expert systems to solve fuzzy and uncertainty decision problems up to date.
管理决策的特点是:结构欠缺;不确定性和风险;冲突。
Characteristics of managerial decisions are lack of structure, uncertainty and risk, conflict.
供应链中的不确定性是企业和组织在管理和决策中不可回避却又十分棘手的问题。
ABSTRACT The uncertainty in Supply Chain Management is a hard nut to be cracked that can not be obviated for companies.
盈亏平衡分析可以对项目的风险情况及项目对各个因素不确定性的承受能力进行科学地判断,为投资决策提供依据。
Break - even analysis can provide a scientific judgment according to the risk condition of project and endurance capability of uncertain factors, and gives the evidence for the investment decision.
贝叶斯网络是在不确定性环境下有效的知识表示方式和概率推理模型,是一种流行的图形决策化分析工具。
Bayesian Networks is a model that efficiently represents knowledge and probabilistic inference and is a popular graphics decision-making analysis tool.
本文希望通过对CRRA、LA、DA三种效用模型的比较分析,对“不确定性”下的投资决策问题的研究提供有益的思路。
By the comparative analysis of three utility models: CRRA, LA and DA, this paper tries to provide a helpful insight into the studies of investment decision problems under uncertainty.
决策分析主要是关于不确定性问题的研究,其传统的理论模型是主观期望效用模型(SEU)。
Decision analysis mostly researches on uncertainty, it's conventional decision model is subject expected utility theory (SEU).
介绍了通常采用的不确定性投资决策方法。
This paper introduced the normally used uncertain investment decision making method.
油气勘探经济评价包含着许多不确定性的风险因素,它们对油气勘探过程和决策至关重要。
There are many uncertain risk factors in economic evaluation of oil and gas exploration, which are of the utmost importance to the process and decision of oil and gas exploration.
针对决策者在进行方案选择时各种自然状态发生概率的不确定性,提出并讨论了离散型模糊状态概率下的方案选择问题。
Considering the uncertainty of the probabilities of events in the selection of alternatives, the alternative selection problem with fuzzy state probability is proposed and investigated.
在这充满不确定的环境中,制定长期的、一成不变的决策显然是不现实的,而评价和利用这种不确定性的能力就变得非常关键。
In the environment full of uncertainty, it is unpractical to make long-term and invariable decision, and it is very important to evaluate and use the uncertainty.
谁决策,如何决策?欧洲议会的偏好、不确定性与政策选择。
Who Decides, and How? : Preferences, Uncertainty, and Policy Choice in the European Parliament.
这个模型用于构造处理模糊性和不确定性决策问题的单目标决策专家系统。
The model is suitable for establishing the expert systems that dispose the single-target decision problems with uncertainty and fuzziness.
讨论了一类具有模糊概率和模糊属性评价值的不确定性决策问题。
This paper investigates a type of uncertain decision making problems with fuzzy probability and fuzzy payoff assessment.
讨论了一类具有模糊概率和模糊属性评价值的不确定性决策问题。
This paper investigates a type of uncertain decision making problems with fuzzy probability and fuzzy payoff assessment.
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