根据圣维南方程组的连续方程，在原有相应涨差模型的基础上，推导出一种新的河道实时洪水预报相应涨差模型。
According to continuity equation of Saint_Venant, and based on the old corresponding rising difference model, the paper developed a new model of channel flood realtime forecasting.
水库防洪；分类预报调度方式；风险分析；洪水预报； 洪水分类；相应涨差模型；三角模糊数；天气系统；
Reservoir Flood Control; Classified Forecast Dispatching Mode; Risk Analysis; Flood Forecast; Flood Classification; Corresponding Rising Difference Model; Triangle Fuzzy Number; Weather Systems;
水库防洪；分类预报调度方式；风险分析；洪水预报； 洪水分类；相应涨差模型；三角模糊数；天气系统；
Reservoir Flood Control; Classified Forecast Dispatching Mode; Risk Analysis; Flood Forecast; Flood Classification; Corresponding Rising Difference Model; Triangle Fuzzy Number; Weather Systems;
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