热带气旋路径及强度变化是台风预测的两个主要方面。
Tropical cyclone tracks and intensity change are two important aspects in typhoon forecast.
提出一个综合评估环境场影响的热带气旋路径客观相似预报模式。
An objective analogue prediction model of tropical cyclone track is brought forward that considers the synthetical evaluation environment.
结果表明，采用不同模式的初始资料生成得到初值集合成员的方法用于集合预报，对南海热带气旋路径预报有一些明显的改进。
The results show that some obvious improvements can be obtained for the track forecasting by using ensemble members formed by the data of initial fields of the 3 different numerical models.
进一步根据NCEP/NCAR全球再分析逐日高度场的格点资料，以热带气旋为中心，取移动区域上的格点场资料作为热带气旋路径预报的物理量初选因子。
The further are using the NCEP/NCAR Global Reanalysis Data and taking the moves TC as the center, then select some grid of the region about the motion TC as the physical quantity predictors (NWP).
不过格纳纳德西肯与他的小组，在未来将利用卫星数据追踪海洋颜色的变化，观察其是否与真实世界中热带气旋的路径相关。
In the future, though, Gnanadesikan and his team aim to use ongoing satellite data to track changes in ocean color, and to see if there's a real-world link to tropical cyclone paths.
从动力学进一步分析也表明，湛江港的增水类型与热带气旋登陆地点和路径关系非常密切。
Dynamical analysis also indicates that the type of the surge at Zhanjiang Harbor has intimate association with the landing location and the path of the tropical cyclone.
结果表明，湛江港发生的增水极值时间和增水形式因热带气旋登陆地点和路径的不同而异。
The result shows that the peak-value time and the pattern of the surge at Zhanjiang Harbor vary with the different landing locations and paths of tropical cyclones.
本文根据影响湛江的典型热带气旋和风暴潮增水资料，系统地分析了热带气旋登陆地点、路径等要素和湛江港增水的关系。
This paper systematically analyzes the relation between the surge at Zhanjiang Harbor and the elements of the tropical cyclone such as the landing location and path with some relevant data.
改进了热带气旋暴雨的落区及降水强度，且主要落区误差的修正位于热带气旋移动路径的右侧并同主要的SST降温区相关；
The distribution and intensity of mesoscale rainfall are improved, with main distribution correction lying on the right of cyclone track and correlating with SST dropping area.
2005年汛期热带气旋预报表明，系统对热带气旋的路径和暴雨的预报效果较好。
The tropical cyclone forecast in the flood season in 2005 indicated that the system was suitable to the tropic cyclone route forecast and rainstorm forecast.
据统计，1960 ~ 2002年共有118个热带气旋进入广西近海区域内，其中移动路径怪异的热带气旋有7个。
By statistical analyzing, there are 118 tropical-cyclones in Guangxi offshore, 7 of them had anomalous among track from 1960 to 2002.
热带气旋移动路径和灾害天气分布也存在较大差异。
Besides, tracks and disaster distribution of TC are quite different.
试验结果表明：热带气旋定位误差影响路径预报，但扰动初始位置的集合平均预报与控制试验的预报水平相接近。
The results show that TC initial position perturbation make its track different, but ensemble mean is close to control forecast.
结果表明 ，西太平洋热带气旋以四种主要路径影响黄、渤海 ，其影响时间、频数及强度均有不同。
The results show that there are four main paths by which West Pacific tropical cyclones influence the Yellow Sea and the Bohai Sea at different times, with different frequencies and intensities.
结果表明 ，西太平洋热带气旋以四种主要路径影响黄、渤海 ，其影响时间、频数及强度均有不同。
The results show that there are four main paths by which West Pacific tropical cyclones influence the Yellow Sea and the Bohai Sea at different times, with different frequencies and intensities.
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