它可以决定一个人应该选择非概率抽样还是概率抽样。
It may determine whether one should choose nonprobability sampling or probability sampling.
某些人觉得这很惊奇并且值得一提，而无神论者则认为这不过是概率论的结果而已。
To some they are amazing and worthy of note, to the skeptics, it is just the law of probability.
《欧洲人》：那会对存在风险的出现概率有什么影响？
The European: And what effect might that have on the probability of existential risk?
但这种方法缺陷是有极高的假配对概率：许多部分配对的结果是，配对人与实际的违法人员没有关系。
But this approach is crippled by a very high false positive rate - many partial matches turn up people unrelated to the actual perpetrator.
如果有两个求爱的人，一个献上了一大盒巧克力，而另一个只是搬出一小盒，那通常我们会认为第一个人成功的概率要更大些。
And usually a suitor who presents a bigger box of treats is thought to have a better chance of success than one who brandishes a smaller one.
当然，这个概率在二战以后，英国的12任首相中较低，12人中只有2个人是左撇子：丘吉尔和卡拉汉。
Certainly, the prevalence has been lower among the 12 postwar British prime ministers; only two of them, Churchill and Callaghan, were left-handed.
虽然一个人因为飞机事故而死的概率微乎其微，但是飞机坠毁的确是一件令人惊恐的事。
Airplane crashes certainly are daunting things even if the chances of a plane crash taking your life are extremely slim.
如果一家公司有5年利润增长20%，投资人会认定这家公司能够在今后15年内持续增长；但是从历史的角度看，这种情况发生的概率就如同出素的猫一样稀少。
A company increases its profits at 20% a year for five years and investors are tempted to believe it can do so for 15; historically, however, such paragons are about as rare as vegetarian cats.
研究人员对说话晚的宝宝进行跟踪调查后发现，在从幼儿到青春期的成长过程中，他们形成害羞、抑郁或侵略性性格的概率并不比同龄人高。
Researchers followed late talkers into their teens and found the kids were no more likely to be shy, depressed or aggressive than their peers as they grew up.
有以上所有三种消极生活方式因素的青少年患有经常性头痛的概率是无以上因素同龄人的3.4倍。
Teens with all three of the negative lifestyle factors were 3.4 times more likely to have frequent headaches than those with none of the negative lifestyle factors.
相当低的概率足以引起杂志审稿人的重视，因此会推荐发表。
The probability will have been sufficiently low that a reviewer for the journal was impressed and therefore recommended publication.
这些可能性值是从概率分布中抽取的，所以实际的人们下次能否再遇到的可能性是由电脑指定的，而不是真正由代理人决定的。
They were drawn from a probability distribution, so the actual future encounter rate was only indicated, not precisely determined by them.
半数受试人完全没有意识到基础概率的影响，他们的答案是95%。
About half the medics seemed totally unaware of the base-rate effect, and said that they were 95 per cent certain that the patient had the disease.
但最后承担损失的那部分CDO的评级却很高，因为CDO包内所有债务人同时违约概率极低。
That piece had alow rating. But the piece at the top, which would take the last losses, wasrated AAA—a reflection of how unlikely it was that allthe loans in the CDO would default at once.
并且，这些人使用号码相同手机的概率几乎为0；除非一种可能，那就是他们是别无二致的双胞胎。
However, the chance that those people will also have access to the same phone is negligible—unless, perhaps, they are identical twins.
所以风险增大三倍就意味着4600人中会有3个人产生血凝，概率仍然是很低的。
So tripling the risk would mean 3 people in 4, 600 get a blood clot, which is still very low.
Kushi博士注意到许多很少食用乳制品的国家文化比北美洲人的骨质疏松症的概率少很多，而北美洲人消耗的牛奶和其他种类的乳制品很多。
Dr. Kushi notes that many cultures that consume few dairy products have much lower rates of osteoporosis than North America, where consumption of milk and other types of dairy is higher.
这14名科学家中有9人认为，对于最严重的假想状况，出现“拐点”的概率大于90%，只有一位科学家认为这一概率低于50%。
Nine of the fourteen scientists said that the chances of a tipping point for the high scenario were greater than 90 per cent, with only one saying that the chances were less than 50:50.
很有可能的是，有些人戴上眼镜后会增强自信，并且改进自己的行为举止，而这本身就增加了他们面试受雇的概率。
It is possible that some people have more self-confidence and change their behaviour when they put on glasses, which could in itself improve their chances at interview.
我想看看我能否从科学角度证实我们直觉上相信的东西——一些人遭受比较多的疾病和早死的概率比较高，从深层次的角度而不是碰运气的方法。
I wanted to see if I could scientifically confirm what we all intuitively believed - that some people face more illness and greater likelihood of early death, in ways that go beyond chance.
这听起来很矛盾：一个人如何从不确定的概率里面得到持续一致的结果？
It sounds like a contradiction: How can someone produce consistent results from an event that has an uncertain probabilistic outcome?
其实除了学习技术外，我们可以通过其他的方法来克服，大家知道，一个良好的环境，可以使人的思维更加敏捷，出错的概率就会减小！
Fact, apart from learning technology, we can by other means to overcome, you know, a good environment can give people thinking more agile, the probability of error will be reduced!
我来贷的创始人兼首席执行官龙沛智称，申请如果是在凌晨1点至早上6点之间提交的，还款违约的概率就会高一些。
Those filed from 1 and 6 a. m. have a higher correlation with repayment default, according to Simon Loong, the founder and chief executive of WeLab.
人因对系统安全的影响日益突出，但现有的概率安全评估方法对其重视不足。
Effect of Human factors on system safety is increasingly serious, which is often ignored in traditional probabilistic safety assessment methods however.
尤其是吸卷烟会缩短人的概率寿命。
Particularly cigarette smoking is associated with a shortened life expectancy.
一个人有可能肥胖概率超过57%，如果他或她有一个朋友变胖。
A person was more than 57 percent more likely to be obese if he or she has a pal who became obese.
同时，逃税人的预期收入还受到收入、税率、稽查概率和惩罚力度等参数的影响。
Meanwhile, the expected income of tax-dodgers is influenced by their income, tax rate, the parameter of the probability of disclosure and the force of punishment, etc.
同时，逃税人的预期收入还受到收入、税率、稽查概率和惩罚力度等参数的影响。
Meanwhile, the expected income of tax-dodgers is influenced by their income, tax rate, the parameter of the probability of disclosure and the force of punishment, etc.
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