文章用X-12-ARIMA季节调整模型对中国1997年1月至2009年12月的粮食消费价格月度定基指数进行分解，并得到趋势循环、季节和不规则因素；
The article decompose the monthly fixed base index of consumer food prices from January 1997 to December 2009 in China with X - 12 -ARIMA seasonal adjustment model and Demtra software.
对统计算法中回归模型中的假设条件、平滑指数的自适应调整、ARMA模型的参数估计作了一些分析。
We make analyses of the three hypotheses of regression. Adaptive adjustment of smoothing index parameters and parameter estimation of ARMA models.
方法用季节预测法中的移动平均比率法计算趋势值与调整月指数 ，最后应用模型。
Methods The trend values were calculated and the monthly indexes were adjusted with moving average method of season prediction method, and then the model was applied.
方法用季节预测法中的移动平均比率法计算趋势值与调整月指数 ，最后应用模型。
Methods The trend values were calculated and the monthly indexes were adjusted with moving average method of season prediction method, and then the model was applied.
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