土地利用变化预测是土地管理工作中的重要课题。
To forecast land use change is important for land use management.
预测结果可为土地利用规划管理及政策的制定提供科学依据,研究方法为土地利用变化预测研究提供一种思路。
The predicted results can provide scientific basis for planning land use and constituting land use policy, and point out a way for land use change prediction research.
土地利用变化;驱动力;灰色预测;回归预测;浙江省。
Land use change; Driving force; Grey forecast; Regression forecast; Zhejiang province.
应用灰色模型预测土地利用结构变化,在稳定的土地利用政策下,预测结果基本能反映土地利用结构变化的速度与趋势,且计算较为简单,所需基础数据较少。
Gray forecast model could be made good use of by reflecting changes in land use structure and the speed of trends in a stable land-use policy. It's easy to apply and based on data for less.
应用灰色模型预测土地利用结构变化,在稳定的土地利用政策下,预测结果基本能反映土地利用结构变化的速度与趋势,且计算较为简单,所需基础数据较少。
Gray forecast model could be made good use of by reflecting changes in land use structure and the speed of trends in a stable land-use policy. It's easy to apply and based on data for less.
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