给出了一种变权重组合预测模型权系数估计的新算法。
In this paper, a new algorithm for the estimation of optimum weight coefficients of changeable weight combination forecast model is proposed.
最后利用基于新鲜度函数的变权重组合预测方法对预测结果进行组合预测,进一步提高了预测精度。
At last the method of combination forecasting based on function of fresh degree is applied and the precision of prediction is further improved.
结果表明,变权重组合预测模型的预测效果比单一的模型预测效果要好,其预测曲线与实测数据曲线吻合良好。
The result indicates that the effect of the prediction by using this method is superior to other single model and its prediction curve coincide with the actual measured curve.
结果表明,变权重组合预测模型的预测效果比单一的模型预测效果要好,其预测曲线与实测数据曲线吻合良好。
The result indicates that the effect of the prediction by using this method is superior to other single model and its prediction curve coincide with the actual measured curve.
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