The fact is it is far better to be wrong at the right time and enjoy the praise of your peers than to be right at the wrong time and loathed.

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Or often your assumptions may be wrong and so what you think may be right is proven wrong.

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Needless to say, this is very risky because you can be wrong in your analysis and even if you are right, you can be too early and get whipsawed.

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You're a contrarian in your trading, but how do you know when the herd is wrong and when they're right?

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