And stockmarket volatility can occur when the underlying trend is up, as well as now, when it is down.
According to leading administrators, so far the underlying trend of corporate deaths does not seem to have risen much.
The threat of cyber leaks or espionage (industrial, state-sponsored or just malicious) is a powerful accelerant to an established underlying trend.
FORBES: WikiLeaks Fallout is Bullish for Boeing, Airbus and United-Continental
The few who see higher prices said the stronger underlying trend, despite the pullback, will eventually revert and drag prices higher.
But while diminished wealth may keep more of the elderly in the office, it merely enhances an underlying trend towards later retirement.
The Trulia Price Monitor also accounts for the regular seasonal fluctuations in asking prices in order to reveal the underlying trend in prices.
Climate is the underlying average, or if the climate is changing it is the underlying trend, whereas weather is the noise in the system.
While the headline unemployment rate was unchanged in April, the underlying trend is improving, with the number of people in work climbing for the fifth consecutive month to 63.5 million.
Of course, inventory will probably turn up this spring and summer because of the regular seasonal pattern, but the underlying trend will be less inventory than is typical for each season, not more.
"We expect the choppiness in the data to persist in the near term, but look for the broader underlying trend in both the quarterly national index and the monthly composite-20 index to remain positive, " Chen says.
"Although at the start of the year our customers felt somewhat less uncertain generally, as did capital market participants, it is still too soon to speak of an underlying trend reversal, " chairman Martin Blessing said in a statement.
Core inflation, which is a better measure of the underlying inflation trend than overall inflation, seems likely to moderate gradually over time.
Also, if you are concerned with severe weather, I discuss how increased media coverage of extreme events is often mistaken for a trend in the underlying events here.
Cross border equity flow dynamics have thus begun to change the underlying U.S. dollar trend, suggesting strength is set to come over the medium-term.
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Whether that takes two more years or five to enter the next big bull, the underlying economy is mending so the trend until then should be up.
But, the rebound in the price of the underlying stock today may not be a lasting trend according to some options players initiating bearish stances on Caterpillar today.
FORBES: Bearish Traders Bulldoze Into Caterpillar Put Options
If crude can continue to trend higher that would be a bullish underlying factor for the metals.
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Another troubling trend is found in the statistics tracking underlying causes of hospitalization due to influenza infection.
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If crude can continue to trend higher it would also be a bullish underlying factor for the metals.
FORBES: Comex Gold, Silver End Higher on Bullish "Outside Market" Forces
If the index does begin to trend lower again, that would be an underlying bullish fundamental for the precious metals.
Ventas is one REIT that is busily taking advantage of that trend by buying up other companies--and illustrates the underlying value that wise investors see in this area.
Ventas (nyse: VTR - news - people ) is one REIT that is busily taking advantage of that trend by buying up other companies--and illustrates the underlying value that wise investors see in this area.
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