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Ellen Wilson, an analyst at Sanford Bernstein, says that the large recent returns will inevitably trigger price wars and rate cuts.
ECONOMIST: Health-care insurance
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However, during unusual periods of reserve shortages in the banking system, the Federal Funds rate would be bid up above the discount rate and trigger borrowing from the Fed.
FORBES: What The Discount Rate Hike Is Really About
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An unemployment rate of 6.5 percent is a threshold, not a "trigger, " for a possible rate increase, he said.
NPR: Fed Stands By Stimulus, Sees Stronger US Economy
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Thus, sequestration is likely to slow our growth rate rather than trigger a recession, according to the mainstream multiplier estimates.
FORBES: Sequester and the Economic Forecast: Not Much Impact
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While DKS was early to pull the promotional trigger on cold weather product as sales most likely were not coming in at the expected rate, we believe much of the discounting was either vendor funded or on carry over product from last year.
FORBES: Footwear's Holiday Winners Are LULU And SHOO
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When the Fed reduced the discount rate in September 2007 and left the Federal Funds rate unchanged, it was deliberately increasing the likelihood that banks would shift their borrowing to the Fed and trigger reserve and monetary expansion.
FORBES: What The Discount Rate Hike Is Really About