With many countries around the world in recession, the trend of commodity prices can mean the difference between a deeper downturn and a faster recovery.
FORBES: Use This Currency To Short Oil, Another One To Buy Gold
The other day I clicked into Amazon.com to see what Simon had written about the long-term trend of commodity prices, the subject that had catapulted him to fame.
Furthermore, those who are bearish on gold this week cite that October is seasonally the weakest month for metal, so the trend of lower prices might persist for now.
The trend of surging prices this year has been controlled, said Yao Jingyuan, the former chief economist with the National Bureau of Statistics, during the annual session of the China Real Estate Chamber of Commerce held on Thursday in Shenzhen.
FORBES: China Inflation Falls To Lowest Level in 2011; ETF Beats Gold At Open
The global trend of high fuel prices have led to an increase in demand for fuel efficient cars, and Ford will ensure its cars are fitted with fuel-efficient engines ranging from Ecoboost to hybrid and diesel to cash in on this demand.
FORBES: Ford Looks To S. Korea As Its Next Asian Growth Engine
Stated differently, if Simon was really betting that inflation-adjusted prices of a basket of commodity prices have a significantly negative trend over long periods of time, and Ehrlich was betting that the slope of that line was significantly positive, I think Simon wins the bet.
One reason to worry that Brazil is again flattering only to deceive is that it has been a huge beneficiary of high commodity prices that same trend that is pushing up the cost of food around the world.
By looking at two metrics an affordability index and a price-to-income ratio Zillow researchers have determined that low mortgage rates that make homes appear incredibly affordable are overshadowing a bigger overall trend in which the overall prices of homes are actually significantly more expensive than historic norms relative to annual incomes.
FORBES: High Home Price-to-Income Ratios Hiding Behind Low Mortgage Rates
These headwinds include a stubbornly high unemployment rate, a disturbing trend of increasing jobless claims, elevated commodity prices, a lackluster residential real estate and increasing sovereign debt problems overseas and, as previously discussed, on our homeland.
FORBES: Forget About The Debt Ceiling Debate, Where's The Economic Growth?
There has been a trend in recent years of tourism authorities hiking up prices at Unesco world heritage sites in China.
The downward trend in Scottish house prices and the number of homes sold continued over the summer, according to official figures.
The stagnation of the housing market and the lower trend to prices is having a negative impact on jobs.
FORBES: Does America Have A Financial System That Protects Savings?
Prices could pull back briefly, as demand is at a seasonal low, but many analysts say the broader trend is that prices will continue to rise because of risks to oil supplies.
Other studies have found that to some extent it is possible to predict future house-price movements from information available now, namely past price increases and the deviation of prices from their long-run trend.
However, this trend appears to be biased by a period of very high prices between 1860 and 1880 when the industry began.
Despite the negative commentary offered in the report, Teresa Chen of Barclays Capital argues that the broad trend for home prices remains on an upward path.
That is partly because of recession and high oil prices, but the trend pre-dates 2007.
The trend seems to be clear, with housing prices falling in 34 of the cities in October twice as many as in September.
Stephen Ball, chief executive officer of Lockheed Martin UK, owner of UK Seabed Resources, says the engineering experience of offshore oil and gas operations and the trend to rising mineral prices have now combined to make seabed mining feasible.
BBC: UK Seabed Resources joins deep-ocean mineral-mining rush
The combination of the credit crisis and resulting recession, plus improvements in technology and the high prices themselves opened up previously untapped natural gas fields in the U.S. A glut of supply sent prices tumbling, which has been the trend ever since mid-2008.
FORBES: 2012 Outlook: Natural Gas Prices Likely To Remain Under Pressure, For Now
The rising trend in oil prices is also concerning, since it directly impacts the cost of planting and harvesting.
Inflation may continue a trend of mild rebound, staying at 2.2 percent due to higher food prices at the year end.
Not only is the Brazilian real weakening, the long term commodity trend in the U.S. is for higher corn prices on account of ethanol production.
"If the recent trend in house prices were to continue through November and December, the annual rate of house price inflation would drop to between 0% and -1% by the end of 2010, " said Nationwide's chief economist Martin Gahbauer.
But the decision also highlights the recent trend of financial institutions raising quick capital through the sale of equity stakes, likely at depressed prices.
FORBES: Goldman Sachs Unloads ICBC Stake, Stock Rolling To $137
The weekly chart of AMZN shows that this decline also tested trend line support (line b) and prices were also close to the weekly Starc- band.
On the bright side, the company plans to hike the menu prices in the second half of the year which could help reverse this trend and widen the margins.
FORBES: Rising Food And Expansion Costs Could Weigh On Chipotle's Earnings
"China's property prices will likely continue their downward trend, likely going into the second half of 2012 and until policies are altered, " said Mark Budden from EC Harris, an asset consultancy.
Those who see higher prices expect the bullish trend to continue as gold has put in five weeks of gains, while those who expect price weakness said the market is due for a correction.
Cotton prices have already started to fall and we believe this trend will continue throughout most of 2011 as the normal supply of the crop from China resumes.
应用推荐