The experts, the people who are looking very closely at China's trade pattern, are thinking that their surplus may be about the same next year as it is this year.
The main reason for paying attention to the head-and-shoulders pattern in Apple is because a large number of other investors trade on this pattern.
Sugarscape is not the only agent-based model that has started to explore the pattern of trade.
The pattern for trade in primary commodities is much the same, with about 90% of them priced in dollars.
As the table below details, this was a pretty consistent pattern of trade-off during the much of this period: When the market went down, you would have been better off had you rebalanced each year.
The investment bill could rise yet more because of a change in the pattern of trade: in 2014 the Panama Canal opens a second lane, doubling its capacity and allowing it to carry bigger container vessels and bulk ships.
One alternative is a currency basket reflecting the pattern of its trade.
Trade allows a country to shift its pattern of production in such a way that, after exporting those goods it does not want and importing those it does, it can consume more without there having been any increase in its available resources.
The next leg of the trade came in the form of a macro wedge pattern, as seen on the chart.
But Egypt extended its ban on rice trade for another year, so it is hard to see a clear pattern of improvement.
Note that all this counts only the so-called static gains from trade: the effects of a once-and-for-all shift in the pattern of production and consumption.
In the week surrounding Christmas, the market consolidated even more tightly at the breakout level of the wedge pattern, giving traders an even tighter set of stop-loss parameters to measure their trade against.
FORBES: How Technical Analysis Has Given Great Trading Cues All Year Long
Although the role of any sustained global green recovery in reducing the chronic trade surpluses in Asian and other emerging market economies is more complex, a necessary step will be to rebalance the pattern of economic growth in these economies to absorb more of their savings domestically.
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