It should have taken no great literacy in the theories and the historyof "state-building" to foresee the favorable endowments of Iraq and the built-in disadvantages of Afghanistan.
These and other thought-provoking theories make this slim volume by a history professor at the University of Genoa more than just another collection of past culinary oddities.
He throws in all the reputable polls (determined by their history), plus many of the other non-poll based theories on who wins elections (such as economic and survey data), whips it well to remove bias and various other nasty bits, and figures out a good set of odds for each state.