The US government has now revised its long-term forecast for the US economy, partly on the basis of these trends.
In May 2010, an unsung numbers hobbyist named Ed Weiland wrote a long-term forecast of Jeremy Lin for the basketball website Hoops Analyst.
Airline stocks were reeling Monday, following a report from the International Air Transport Association reporting August passenger traffic slowed and offering a grim near-term forecast.
Therefore, our policy stance must be determined in light of the medium-term forecast for real activity and inflation, as well as the risks to that forecast.
The long-term forecast track from the hurricane center showed Katrina weakening and crossing the Florida peninsula Friday, then moving out over the Gulf of Mexico and sweeping north toward the hurricane-weary northern Gulf Coast.
We expect some residual claims in the coming years, but our long term forecast is based on the assumption that there will be no major catastrophes like Sandy and Irene in the coming years.
However, the Bank has somewhat reduced its medium-term forecast for consumer spending growth and says that it could turn out to be even lower because household debt has reached a record level in relation to income.
Let me say a few words about the change in the longer term growth forecast.
Mr Ryan's roadmap takes as its starting point the CBO's long-term budget forecast.
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In its long-term fiscal forecast, the Congressional Budget Office figures that in 25 years, the federal government will be spending about 10.5 percent of GDP on Medicare, Medicaid, and the new health insurance subsidies created by the Affordable Care Act.
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He also reduced his long-term gross margin forecast for the company to 35%, from 40%.
Penn National has an estimated 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 24 and a 15% annualized long-term earnings growth forecast.
Even the consensus sell-side long-term EPS growth forecast, normally seen as a casually-generated and typically optimistic ornament to the overall suite of analyst estimates, calls for EPS to decline at a 5.2% annual rate.
Carnival trades at a forward PE multiple4 of 16, with a forecast long-term growth rate of around 16% per year.5 This is an attractive trade off, in my opinion, particularly given the great dynamics of an industry riding the powerful, long-term currents of mass affluence and aging.
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Most analysts have forecast a long-term rise in personal savings in the U.S. as well as depressed consumption and slower growth because of it.
We forecast that Intel Server Processor Market Share will increase slightly in the near term and remain flat thereafter till the end of Trefis forecast period.
For anyone who has been compelled to give a long-term vision or read a marketing forecast for the next decade, Mr. Taleb's chapter excoriating "The Scandal of Prediction" will ring painfully true.
Long term growth forecasts by Brazilian firm Consensus Forecast has the country averaging around 3.9 percent from 4.5 percent.
Production is trending that way, but 8 years is a long time to forecast, and long-term forecasts are fraught with peril.
But in the past quarter of a century the consensus forecast for the long-term annual earnings growth of American companies has never dipped significantly below 10%.
This has impacted the demand for mining equipment and machinery manufactured by Caterpillar and other mining equipment manufacturers, causing them to lower their earnings forecast over the short-term.
Update 10 January 2013: The second paragraph of this report has been changed to clarify that the Met Office forecast refers to a long-term average.
Audit Scotland said a number of factors would affect prescribing and its associated spending in coming years, and it is difficult to forecast and quantify their long-term impact.
Crude oil prices are currently at their highest level since 2008 and are likely to climb higher still over the short, mid and long term horizons, according to the most recent forecast data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
This forecast is intended for making long-term asset allocation decisions as opposed to short-term tactical decision.
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The first half of the interest rate forecast is very simple: short-term interest rates will remain in microscopic territory through 2013.
But bond yields also in part represent the market's forecast for the future level of short-term rates.
Since our valuation for Aeropostale is based on cash flows expected over a long term horizon, our valuation is positively impacted by a forecast margin recovery.
If, as many economists forecast, the Bank of England cuts short-term rates to 2%, British savers could be tempted by the allure of government bonds yielding 3-4%.
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