But the statisticalprobabilities associated with the screening model that pointed me to MHP, its fundamentals, and the special-situation breakup story, leave me comfortable with MHP.
The computer robot would then suggest the most logical output based on mathematical computation that yielded the best results within a given time period, taking into account potential statisticalprobabilities for failures and unpredicted consequences.
But in an increasingly complex world that is over-flowing with complicated statisticalprobabilities upon probabilities, being willing to make a simple decision is often far safer in the long run than choosing nothing for fear of making a mistake.
If one wants to play earnings season, as many do, immediate (pre-reporting date) plays like Lilly are supported by higher statisticalprobabilities than could be achieved by waiting for the news to come out and then chasing companies that outperformed expectations.