If you buy into statistical forecasting, Obama need only get his numbers up three-plus percent-age points in 13 months to prevail--a challenge but not impossible.

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If we were to add biological and genetic information to the equation along with recent statistical advances in forecasting predictions about reoffending would become significantly more accurate.

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First, as a sabermetrician Silver developed the PECOTA system for forecasting the performance of baseball players, leading the statistical revolution in the sport by changing the way team executives assess and value talent.

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The Federal Reserve has some make that many of the best economists in the world who are capable of doing the most sophisticated statistical and econometric studies and using the most sophisticated models for forecasting.

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