The Dow and Nasdaq Comp were both down -0.2% and the SPX off -0.3%.
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March 18- Goldman Sachs lifted its 2013 year-end SPX forecast from 1575 to 1625.
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Look for 1, 300 on the SPX to act as potential support on a decline.
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The bottom line is: Based on SPX historical volatility, the VIX has room to move lower.
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The SPX registered a -1.5% loss and the Dow and Nasdaq Comp were both off -1.8%.
As I mentioned previously, the SPX lost more than 2% on the first trading day in June.
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The average SPX returns after negative months are pretty close to those seen after a positive month.
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On a final note, there is a disturbing development in the charts of the VIX and SPX below.
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The worst day of the year for the SPX was June 1, when it lost 2.46% (interesting figure).
In the end, the SPX closed slightly lower for the week, as it remains range-bound between 1, 300 and 1, 333.
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Should 860 break, the 810 area, which is the site of the SPX's 80-day moving average, could offer support.
Meanwhile, the SPX is up just 4.8% year-to-date, and down by a more modest 6.4% for the second quarter.
We are basically right around the broken accelerated uptrend spot in the SPX.
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This is despite the SPX gaining more than 30% during that time frame.
The "VIX premium" is the percentage that the VIX was above the 20-day historical volatility reading of the SPX.
For the week, the SPX and Dow both suffered -2.1% losses, and the Nasdaq Comp performed the poorest, off -2.7%.
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You can see how it peaked in February and then failed to confirm the SPX 1370 high of May 1st.
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What's more, RVBD has bested the SPX by nearly 49% on a relative-strength basis during the past 60 trading days.
Technically speaking HRS has outperformed the SPX by nearly 40% on a relative-strength basis during the past 60 trading sessions.
There have been definitely three and arguably four failures at the 1400-1440 area on the SPX going back to 2008.
Nevertheless, despite underperforming the SPX by 26% during the past 40 sessions, ZIP still has plenty of fans on Wall Street.
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We looked at one-month, three-month, six-month and 12-month returns following months in which the SPX returned 8% or more since 1972.
The stock has added about 16.5% year-to-date, easily besting the 6.5% gain collected by the SPX during the same time frame.
The shares of NG have outperformed the SPX by almost 3% during the past 20 sessions, advancing roughly 7% in April alone.
Unlike sector peers MTW and DE, the shares of CMI have underperformed the broader SPX by 10% over the past 60 sessions.
Meanwhile, the SPX managed to rally significantly above 1, 340 at its Friday morning highs, but retreated and closed right on this level.
The top chart shows the SPX, and marks prior instances when there was a buy or sell signal based on this indicator.
But Mr McColl revealed that after discussions with the chairman and chief executive of SPX, he had received a number of assurances.
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The SPX continued to outperform for the rest of the entire month.
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Note, for example, that when the VIX peaked in March, the historical volatility on the SPX was 23.1, substantially above current levels.
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