The short-term analysis suggests a near-term low is likely this week, if the futures did not make their lows early Friday.
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My short-term analysis for gold does suggest a pullback that could carry into next week, and John Person, an expert in seasonal commodity trends, tells me that gold typically bottoms in late July or early August.
The Energy Select Sector SPDR ( XLE) is still in a short-term downtrend, but the longer-term analysis remains positive.
Objective Analysis anticipates short-term price swings as a result of this earthquake, but significant shortages are unlikely.
Chart Analysis : The short-term downtrend (line b) on the weekly chart of the ten-year Treasury Note was broken last week.
This has clearly been a year for sticking with the weekly trend analysis, as the short-term swings have been difficult to trade.
The relative performance or RS analysis is in a short-term uptrend (line d), but shows a pattern of higher highs and higher lows.
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The daily relative performance or RS analysis had been in a short-term uptrend since the July lows (line g), which was broken last week.
First, this kind of analysis is no use at all in predicting short-term movements.
Met Office analysis has suggested that the UK could experience a severe short-term drought, similar to the drought experienced in 1976, once a decade.
Based on technical analysis and charting, the major market indexes like the Dow and Nasdaq are short-term oversold beneath their 50-day moving averages to a degree that almost always brings a rally back up to the moving average.
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