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December's decline is largely a result of a shrinking labor force, Karl says, and a string of large increases in payrolls (say 200, 000 or so monthly) could just as easily send the number higher as more discouraged workers resume looking for employment.
That optimistic timeline had been offered by numerous NASA managers, who would like to resume shuttle flights to the international space station soon to send crews and components to the unfinished orbiting outpost.
"Reducing the numbers now would send a message to the obstructionists in Bosnia that they have succeeded in weeding us out and can resume the policies of division which have been so detrimental for this country and its citizens, " he said.