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Mr. PAUL SAFFO (Institute for the Future): This is a money machine for Google.
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Paul Saffo, a futurologist and one of the world's most enthusiastic technophiles, also looks at the downside.
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"I really like the idea of buying music once and never having to buy it again, " Saffo says.
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Speaking before the students of the Singularity University Executive Program in October, Saffo enumerated seven keys to effective forecasting.
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Human-piloted fighter jets and the humble compact disc are on the top of Saffo's list of technologies soon-to-be gone.
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Saffo says this is a growing market, but says boomers are not going to be excited to buy phones with big buttons.
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The big losers, Mr Saffo thinks, are the suburbs that were built for specific functions in a previous era but are now blighted.
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But, says Mr Saffo, it seems to have missed one thing.
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The proper metaphor for somebody who carries portable but unwieldy and cumbersome infrastructure is that of an astronaut rather than a nomad, says Paul Saffo, a trend-watcher in Silicon Valley.
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Around the turn of the century, as some astronauts, typically executive road warriors, got smarter about packing light, says Mr Saffo, they graduated to an intermediate stage, becoming hermit crabs.
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Saffo, for one, is stocking up on compact discs.
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"My nightmare fear is some congressman is going to seize on this and they're going to pass some laws, " says Paul Saffo, director of the Institute of the Future in Menlo Park, Calif.
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"We build our new technology edifices on the rubble of older technology, " says Paul Saffo, a Silicon Valley technology forecaster who relishes telling the story of Disney's ill-fated house of the future and other now neglected technologies.
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