Risk measurement entails complex correlation analyses and what-if scenarios, and there is a trend among financial services firms to outsource this work, says Morningstar analyst Swami Shanmugasundaram.

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His main argument on the pooled analyses is that the risk for heart attacks goes away if you look at heart attacks, strokes, deaths, and heart surgeries.

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That drug was linked in several analyses of published data to an increase in the risk of heart attacks, but big studies didn't provide a clear answer as to whether the risk was real.

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So I was curious to see this exact phrase pop up in various media analyses where implications of Euro-demise, such as redenomination risk, cross-border contract liability, and so on are getting a thinking through, at least in the media, for example here in the WSJ.

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Nissen points out that based on other Merck analyses made public last month, it's possible to argue that the risk emerged after only three months of exposure.

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