Barclays Capital said Wednesday that it expects just a 25 basis point reduction in the main policy rate, known as the refinance, or refirate, from the European Central Bank.
In effect, the bank now has a target range for short-term rates: the upper bound is the 1% refirate and the lower bound is the rate the central bank pays on banks' deposits with it, currently 0.25%.
The European Central Bank (ECB) certainly remains on tenterhooks with about 30% of futures dealers pricing in a refi-rate (refinancing rate) cut on Thursday.