Two of its business-oriented parties, the Progressive Alliance and the Liberal Party, have merged to improve their chances.
Even its coalition, now dubbed the United Progressive Alliance, will have only 210-220, and a number of those will not join the government.
Prime Minister Manmohan Singh's governing United Progressive Alliance, which relies on Trinamool's 19 seats to form its Parliamentary majority, isn't likely to fall immediately.
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Over the past eight years, the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance has promised universal education and 100 days of employment each year for rural workers.
The centre-left Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats in Europe (PASDE) is the second largest bloc with 183 MEPs, followed by the Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe (ALDE) with 84.
Recent exit polls, while calling it a close race, have indicated that the incumbent United Progressive Alliance (UPA) led by the Indian National Congress may have a slight edge over the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) led by the Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP).
Despite his inexperience, he showed skill in piloting a recent merger of two rival right-of-centre parties, the Canadian Alliance and the Progressive Conservatives.
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Rather than a merger of equals, it still looks to some Canadians like a takeover of the moderate Progressive Conservatives by the western-based Alliance.
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Yet as kingmaker Mr Dacic dropped his alliance with the Democratic Party of Boris Tadic in favour of the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) led by Tomislav Nikolic, who defeated Mr Tadic in the presidential election.
In the last election, in 2000, the Alliance won 25.5% of the vote, double that of the Progressive Conservatives.
He leads a party that emerged only in March from a hurried merger between the western-based, socially conservative Alliance (previously the Reform Party) and the eastern rump of the more centrist Progressive Conservatives.
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Mr Cannonier, a relative newcomer to Bermudan politics, was propelled into power in December 2012 when his One Bermuda Alliance ousted the government of Premier Paula Cox and ended 14 years of rule by the Progressive Labour Party (PLP).
The Alliance represents an effort to broaden the political base of the western Reform party by wooing eastern Progressive Conservatives.
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