But calculating the average probability for a group is much easier than calculating the same probability for any individual.
The lower probability of future dental problems (and lower probability of pain) also means I can be more attentive.
In the game theory of things, we assumed there was some probability Sony would match us, and probably a higher probability Sony would come later.
ENGADGET: The Engadget & Joystiq Interview: Steve Ballmer, CEO of Microsoft
The probability of loss obviously declines with multiple sites but the mathematics of that probability are still based on the probability of loss at each individual site.
FORBES: 9 Questions to Ask Before Signing a Cloud Computing Contract
In these circumstances, the probability that inflation will exceed the Bank's central-band forecast is greater than the probability that it will come in lower than the band.
Really, at the end of the day, what you are doing is, you are determining the probability and the mathematical expectation, which is the probability of how often it loses.
At heart it is an argument over the probability of serious damage as a result of climate change and the probability of serious damage as a result of trying to avoid it.
Retailers also continue to experience a higher average probability of default, based on the Sageworks probability of default model, a predictive statistical model for the credit analysis of small or privately held companies.
Typically, in a variation of the Allais experiment, subjects are asked to consider two different lotteries one with a big probability of winning a small prize and another with a smaller probability of winning a big one.
The probability of a tie (or, if the voter count is odd, a one-vote margin) would be the probability that when you flip a coin 5.2 million times you get exactly 2.6 million heads and 2.6 million tails.
Translation, if one were to start with a pre-trial null hypothesis probability of 50% (reflecting equipoise, an ethical prerequisite for randomizing patients), the post-trial null hypothesis probability would still be 9%, which is not sufficient to change my practice.
Varadhan, New York University, for his work in probability theory, especially his work on large deviations from expected random behavior which has revolutionized this field of study during the second half of the 20th century, and become a cornerstone of both pure and applied probability.
WHITEHOUSE: President Obama Honors the Country��s Top Innovators and Scientists | The White House
The probability of any one of the above-mentioned events (and many more that could be added to a list of potential triggers) may be small in a given year, but the combined probability of at least one or more of these events happening in the next three years is high.
The 11 dead tigers were iced, in all probability, to preserve the parts for sale.
These surveys solicit expert opinion on probability of recession for each of the next four quarters.
Like the above probability, not many people get off the highway and right back on.
FORBES: What Should You Do If You Suspect A Car Has Been Following You?
In the case of the Roth conversion, this is more than a remote probability.
"The probability that a model ETF manager outperforms after all fees is remote, " he says.
The portfolio will have low cost, low turnover, and the highest probability for investor success.
In the long run, probability favors an all index fund portfolio all of the time.
Risk is the probability that some or all of these future cash flows will not materialize.
Even back then in 1975 the probability that it would go into remission was about 80%.
Under KMV's model, the typical default probability is 15% in Indonesia and 18% in Thailand.
So even though Oracle could financially make a large move, we think the probability is remote.
FORBES: Will Oracle Buy HP? "Extremely" Unlikely, Analyst Says
Deflation is a concern, although he rates the odds as low with only a 20%-25% probability.
Why is the probability of something about which you have no information not 0.5?
The probability goes up to 97 percent if the portfolio is held for a 20-year period.
There is a high probability of a meaningful stock market reversal in September or earlier.
But the overall message of a lowering probability of a high sensitivity is hard to deny.
FORBES: Climate Change Is Now Less Of a Problem. So We Need To Do Less About Climate Change
What they are assigning a high probability to is the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged.
应用推荐