What makes a threat vector realistic is the idea itself and the probability of success.
If the probability of success is high and can be proven, the idea holds water and we have a problem.
The way I resolve various contradictions is by backtesting and taking only those signals that show high probability of success.
Thus, it is not surprising that sophisticated investors are able to judge the probability of success, which is reflected in the share price.
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By testing the cadence of cart recovery marketing campaigns, etailers can tailor their approach to unique audiences and increase the probability of success.
For many retirees, that probability of success would be marginally acceptable.
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Last week, a federal judge extended a restraining order barring Reebok from selling Jets merchandise featuring Mr. Tebow, saying Nike had shown "a probability of success on the merits" in its lawsuit.
Such models, which are widely used in the pharmaceutical industry, take inputs such as the costs of clinical trials, the length of each stage of drug development and the probability of success at each stage.
OneWorld Health chooses most projects strategically, based on a variety of factors including the disease area and identified therapeutic needs within that area, the technical feasibility of the project and its probability of success, its current development stage (e.g. discovery stage vs. clinical stage) and the potential impact.
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The rarity of this stems from a long history of consolidation, but also confers on Regeneron a higher probability of clinical success.
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Preparing for these dynamics on the front-end will serve as the foundation to increase the probability of your success on the back-end of a meeting.
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