The truth is, no one can really guess the future or ''natural'' price of uranium using traditional forecasting methods anchored in historic trends.

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But what seems important to me is that the people responsible for forecasting the future price of oil seem decidedly more bullish on its future course.

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On the day of the Samsung Galaxy S4 launch, pundits are forecasting a tough day for the Apple share price.

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Our core point is that investors make the system sufficiently erratic that forecasting its activity, aside from noting that price crashes are inevitable, is largely impossible.

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Energy Secretary Chris Huhne, however, believed that, while the government was also forecasting an increase in world energy prices, UK price rises were not inevitable.

BBC: Are energy price rises inevitable?

With improved forecasting, lead times for other power sources can be increased and price volatilities reduced.

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However, Trefis members are more skeptical, forecasting the margins to fall below 25%, representing a downside of 4% to our price estimate for NWS stock.

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